This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for U.S. mobile phone shipments by device vendors. It is part of IDC's continuing research with respect to mobile devices. Findings in this document are based on information gathered from primary and secondary sources during the past three months.
The U.S. mobile phone market will reach a total of 191.2 million units shipped in 2015, up 3.7% from the 184.4 million units shipped in 2014. From there, total volumes will decline before reaching 185.4 million units in 2019, the final year of our forecast period, at a CAGR of 0.1%.
"Having reached market saturation, the U.S. mobile phone market will still see terrific volumes moving forward but will still see slow decline," says Ramon T. Llamas, research manager for IDC's Mobile Phones team. "Clearly, the focus will still be on the rising smartphone market, which will account for close to 100% of all smartphone shipments by 2019. Feature phone volumes, meanwhile, will slowly decline but not disappear altogether. What will also merit close observation is how mobile phone average selling prices change. We expect slow increase due to the rising popularity of smartphones, but open markets and carrier strategies around subsidies could change all that."