Server Market Deceleration Continues in Second Quarter, But Signs of Stabilization Emerge, According to IDC
02 Sep 2009
FRAMINGHAM, Mass., September 2, 2009 – According to IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Server Tracker,
factory revenue in the worldwide server market declined 30.1% year over year to
$9.8 billion in the second quarter of 2009 (2Q09). This is the fourth
consecutive quarter of revenue decline and the lowest quarterly server revenue
since IDC began tracking the server market on a quarterly basis in 1996. Server unit shipments declined 30.4% year over year in 2Q09,
accelerating from the 26.5% decline experienced in 1Q09 and representing the
largest ever year-over-year quarterly server unit decline as customers
continued to defer server refresh activities.
Revenue for all classes of servers
weakened further in the second quarter, with volume systems declining 30.0% and
midrange enterprise revenue off 28.1% year over year. The slowdown extended to
the high-end enterprise segment where revenue declined 32.0% when compared to
the same quarter one year ago. This is the third consecutive quarter that all
three server segments have experienced a year-over-year revenue decline in the
same quarter.
"Over the past four quarters, the worldwide server
market has experienced significant revenue deceleration in all geographic
regions as the economic recession has
deepened," said Matt Eastwood, group vice president of Enterprise
Platforms at IDC. "Fewer servers have been shipped over the past four
quarters than at any time since 2005 and it is clear that the worldwide server
installed base is aging rapidly. In the weeks and months ahead, IDC believes
that IT customers around the globe will begin to focus on the future once
again, making strategic compute platform decisions for the next business cycle,
and driving more predictable server demand as market conditions stabilize in
the second half of 2009."
Overall Server Market Standings, by Vendor
IBM held onto its number 1 spot in the worldwide server
systems market with 34.5% market share in factory revenue for 2Q09 and gaining
1.8 points of share in the quarter on the performance of System x and System p.
HP maintained the number 2 spot with 28.5% share for the quarter, on a 30.4%
year-over-year revenue decline. Dell and Sun held the number 3 and 4 market
positions with 12.4% and 10.0% factory revenue share respectively. Dell's
factory revenue declined 26.8% and increased its market share by 0.6 points year
over year while Sun's factory revenue declined 37.2% year over year. Fujitsu/Fujitsu-Siemens
maintained its fifth-place standing in terms of factory revenue, with 3.5%
market share in the quarter.
Top-Level Server Market Findings
- The market for non-x86 servers, including servers based
on RISC, EPIC, and CISC processors, declined 32.2% year over year to $4.7
billion in 2Q09. After outperforming x86 servers recently, this is the first
time in the past six quarters that non-x86 servers have underperformed x86
servers in the market. IBM maintained its leadership position, posting 53.3%
share in this segment, followed by Hewlett Packard (19.2%) and Sun Microsystems
(17.3%), respectively, based on factory revenue.
- Microsoft Windows server revenue was $3.7 billion in
2Q09 showing a 27.7% year-over-year decline and comprising 38.1% of all server revenue in the
quarter. Windows servers account for the single largest segment of spending, by
operating system, in the worldwide server market.
- Linux server revenue declined 28.9% year-over-year to
$1.3 billion in the quarter. Linux servers now represent 13.8% of all server
revenue, up slightly from 13.5% a year ago.
- Unix servers experienced a 30.9% revenue decline when
compared with 2Q08. Worldwide Unix revenues were $3.1 billion for the quarter,
representing 31.5% of quarterly server spending. IBM gained 7.4 points of share
year over year and holds the 2Q09 leadership position in the Unix server market, posting 41.4% share in
this segment, followed by Sun Microsystems (27.3%) and Hewlett Packard (24.8%)
respectively, based on factory revenue.
x86 Server Market Dynamics
The x86 server market remained weak in 2Q09, declining 28.1%
in the quarter to $5.2 billion worldwide as unit shipments declined 30.0% to
1.4 million servers. This is the lowest x86 server revenue since 3Q03 with the
top 3 x86 server vendors all experiencing server revenue declines of 20% or
more in the quarter. IBM exhibited the strongest x86 performance of the top 3
OEMs, gaining 1.4 points of market share on a 21.8% year-over-year factory
revenue decline. HP led the market with 36.9% revenue share while Dell held second
place with 23.7% revenue share and IBM maintained the third position with 17.5%
revenue share.
"x86
servers continued to show marked weakness due to economic instability
throughout the second quarter. While the year-over-year revenue decline is
particularly steep, it should be noted that the comparison was to a strong
second quarter in 2008, which had the highest second quarter revenue for the
x86 market since 2004," said Daniel Harrington, research analyst,
Enterprise Server Group. "This quarter's performance was not unexpected,
and with the lack of normalcy from seasonal patterns it should be noted that
unit shipments did increase quarter over quarter. IDC believes that due to
constrained IT budgets, users refrained from investing what capital they had in
preparation for the significant product refresh led by the latest AMD Istanbul
and Intel Nehalem server CPU's, which began ramping during the quarter.
Indications from the market support an optimistic view for x86 servers in the coming
quarters."
Blade Server Market Shows Strong Shipment and Revenue Growth
The blade server market segment experienced quarterly
revenue declines for the second consecutive quarter with factory revenue
falling 12.1% year over year on a 19.8% year-over-year shipment decline.
Overall, bladed servers, including x86, EPIC, and RISC blades, accounted for
$1.2 billion in the first quarter, representing 11.7% of quarterly server
revenue. IBM exhibited the strongest blade server performance of the top 5
OEMs, gaining 3.8 points of market share on 2.3% year-over-year factory revenue
growth. HP led the market with 52.9% revenue share as IBM held second place
with 27.2% revenue share and Dell maintained the third position with 9.1%
revenue share.
"Compared to the overall server market, the blade
segment experienced relatively good results for the quarter," said Jed
Scaramella, senior research analyst in IDC's Datacenter and Enterprise Server
group. "The converged nature of the blade platform enables IT organizations
to increase IT efficiency through improving manageability and lowering
operating expenses. These are key customer criteria during the current economic
recession."
Top 5 Corporate Family, Worldwide Server Systems Factory Revenue, Second
Quarter of 2009
(Revenues are in Millions)
|
Vendor
|
2Q09
Revenue
|
2Q09
Market
Share
|
2Q08
Revenue
|
2Q08
Market
Share
|
2Q09/2Q08
Revenue
Growth
|
|
IBM
|
$3,385
|
34.5%
|
$4,596
|
32.7%
|
-26.3%
|
|
Hewlett-Packard
|
$2,798
|
28.5%
|
$4,017
|
28.6%
|
-30.4%
|
|
Dell
|
$1,221
|
12.4%
|
$1,667
|
11.9%
|
-26.8%
|
|
Sun Microsystems
|
$981
|
10.0%
|
$1,562
|
11.1%
|
-37.2%
|
|
Fujitsu/Fujitsu Siemens
|
$345
|
3.5%
|
$531
|
3.8%
|
-35.0%
|
|
Others
|
$1,084
|
11.0%
|
$1,668
|
11.9%
|
-35.0%
|
|
All Vendors
|
$9,814
|
100%
|
$14,040
|
100%
|
-30.1%
|
IDC's Worldwide
Quarterly Server Tracker, September 2009
IDC's Server Taxonomy
IDC's Server Taxonomy maps the eleven price bands within the
server market into three price ranges: volume servers (servers priced less than
$25,000), midrange enterprise servers ($25,000 to $499,999), and high-end
enterprise servers ($500,000 or more). The revenue data presented in this
release is stated as factory revenue for a server system. IDC presents data in
factory revenue to determine market-share position. Factory revenue represents
those dollars recognized by multi-user system and server vendors for ISS and
upgrade units sold through direct and indirect channels and includes the
following embedded server components: Frame or cabinet and all cables,
processors, memory, communications boards, operating system software, other
bundled software and initial internal and external disk shipments.
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Server Tracker is a quantitative
tool for analyzing the global server market on a quarterly basis. The Tracker
includes quarterly shipments (both ISS and upgrades) and revenues (both customer
and factory), segmented by vendor, family, model, region, operating system,
price band, CPU type, and architecture. For more information, please contact
Hoang Nguyen at 508-935-4718 or hnguyen@idc.com.
Contact
For more information, contact:
Matt Eastwood
meastwood@idc.com
508-935-4503
Daniel Harrington
dharrington@idc.com
508-988-7897
Michael Shirer
press@idc.com
508-935-4200
|