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Worldwide Telepresence
2008–2012 Forecast and Analysis
IDC defines telepresence as a combination of very high-quality audio
and video communications within two nearly identical physical
environments, including furniture, lighting, and other interior design
features, to mimic an in-person meeting as closely as possible.
However, this emerging communications medium is a clear step beyond
traditional videoconferencing and has a business case that a select
cadre of Fortune 1000 companies will be able to justify in the near
term to reduce executive travel, increase team collaboration, and
reduce carbon footprint. This IDC study examines the market outlook for
telepresence systems for 2008–2012. These telepresence rooms
use audio and visual technologies, interior design, and high-speed wide
area network connections to mimic the experience of a face-to-face
meeting, regardless of where the rooms are located.
Worldwide VoIP Support Services
2008–2012 Forecast
In 2006, the market could only speculate about the pending impact of
Microsoft's entrance on the IP telephony and unified communications
marketplace. Yet we would begin to see the reality of that situation
when Office Communications Server 2007 was generally released in
October 2007. IDC notes it is still early to see how a desktop-based
approach to IP communications might affect other vendors' IP PBX system
shipments and IP line shipments, but this approach has certainly
affected IDC's long-term projections for future IP PBX shipments and IP
line shipments.
The big market questions in 2008 that will evolve from "the Microsoft
effect" will be:
- Will
IP PBX and IP line shipments actually stall or decline?
- Will
the average price per line/user drop as anticipated?
- Or
will vendors try to incorporate more functionality in the individual
seat license to rationalize the cost per user?
- Will
vendors increasingly embrace standards such as SIP to allow customers
to implement a heterogeneous communications infrastructure?
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U.S. and Worldwide Server Installed Base
2008–2012 Forecast
This study is tightly coupled with Worldwide and Regional Server
2008–2012 Forecast: March 2008 (IDC #211606
, April 2008) and incorporates the latest quarterly server forecasts.
As of year-end 2007, there were approximately 30 million servers
installed worldwide. While a majority of these servers fall into the
volume space, there are still thousands of midrange enterprise and
high-end enterprise servers that will be replaced over the next few
years as product support ends and power and cooling costs warrant a
retirement of the system. IDC research has shown that for every dollar
a customer spends on new server hardware, it will spend $0.50 powering
and cooling its server installed base. While we haven't yet seen an
impact on retirement cycles as a result of escalating power and cooling
costs in the datacenter, we have seen rapid adoption of server
virtualization technology that is helping customers to temper the
growth rates of their installed server footprint. There are also many
users that have aging systems, with no plans of retiring these systems.
These users have spent thousands of dollars developing homegrown
applications that support their work requirements and see no reason to
change.
Worldwide High-Performance and Technical
Computing Server 2008–2012 Forecast
2007 showed a return to significant growth in the technical computing
server (aka high-performance computing [HPC]) market, with a 15%
increase to reach $11.56 billion for the year. Growth varied
significantly between the IDC competitive segments, with the high-end
capability segment seeing good growth after a number of tough years.
The departmental segment exhibited the strongest growth overall, and
the workgroup segment was close to flat after a number of stellar
growth years. Looking forward, IDC projects the total HPC market will
expand by a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.2% to reach just
under $18 billion by 2012. This IDC study presents an overview of our
forecast for the technical server market for the 2008–2012
period.
Worldwide Disk Storage Systems
2008–2012 Forecast: Content-Centric Customers —
Reshaping Market Demand
Despite the deteriorating economic outlook that plagued the second half
of 2007, the disk storage systems market had another strong year,
showing steady growth year over year. Total disk storage systems
customer revenue increased 6.8%, reaching $28.2 billion. New terabyte
shipments increased by 53.6%, to 5.2 million terabytes. This IDC study
provides a forecast of the worldwide disk storage systems market for
2008–2012 as well as discussion of assumptions and major
market trends.
Is UTM a Threat to Routers? We Think So!
Persistent
growth in the demand for routing capacity and concurrent increases in
security requirements have conspired to create a competitive market
dynamic that has otherwise been overlooked by network equipment vendors
and analysts alike. From a technology perspective, routers have
traditionally been the primary network device used to connect a LAN to
a larger network. This is the case in large enterprise environments,
where the ability to support legacy and TCP/IP protocols renders the
router a critical device in managing traffic between branch offices and
headquarters datacenters. In the SMB market, however, point-to-point or
even mesh wide area networks are of little value. Connectivity to the
Internet is often sufficient. This shift from a desire to connect
offices together (with Internet connections as a secondary goal) to
demanding a secure and low-cost way of providing Internet connectivity
is changing the competitive landscape for vendors of SOHO and low-end
routers.
This study examines the displacement of routers by unified threat
management devices, describes trends in each market, and details the
competitive dynamics between them. Our goal is to define the
nontraditional yet increasingly competitive landscape for routers and
UTM devices and prescribe steps vendors in each camp can take to
further delineate their market and capitalize on available
opportunities.
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