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 target audience: TECH SUPPLIER  Publication date: Jun 2022 - Document type: Market Perspective - Doc  Document number: # EUR149102722

Forecasting the Impact of the EU's Proposed AI Regulation: Why Regulation Won't Kill AI Innovation in the EU

By: 

  • Jack Vernon
  • Ewa Zborowska
  • Neil Ward-Dutton
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Table of Contents


  • Executive Snapshot

    • Figure: Executive Snapshot: Forecasting the Impact of the EU's Proposed AI Regulation

  • New Market Developments and Dynamics

    • Introduction

    • The EU AI Act: Background

    • Figure: EU AI Act Risk Segmentation

    • Figure: Timeline of Progression for the EU AI Act

    • Forecasting the Impact of the Proposal: Three Scenarios for the AI Software Market

    • Defining the Scale of Impact

    • Figure: IDC's Impact Framework

    • EU AI Act Forecast Scenarios

    • Figure: Scenario Map

    • Market Forecast Outcomes

    • Table: European AI Software Revenue, 2020–2025: Original Forecast Versus Scenario Forecasts ($B)

    • Figure: European AI Software Revenue, 2020–2025: Original Forecast Versus Scenario Forecasts ($B)

    • Figure: European AI Software Revenue, 2020–2025: Cumulative Difference Between Original and Forecast Scenarios (%)

    • Impact on Industry Verticals — Balanced Scenario View

    • Figure: European AI Software Revenue by Industry, 2020–2025: Total Difference Between Original Forecast and Balanced Scenario Forecast (%)

    • Impact on AI Software Technologies Across All Scenarios

    • Figure: AI Software Technology Categories and Brands by Risk Level

    • Possible Risk: AI CRM Applications and AI ERM Applications — Embedded AI Features Could be Seen Unfavorably in Light of the Legislation

    • No Impact: Rest of AI Applications, Intelligent Knowledge Discovery, AI Application Development and Deployment, AI Infrastructure Software — Limited Exposures to Regulated Use Cases

    • Possible Opportunity: AI Software Services, AI Life-Cycle Software — Drive Toward Explainability and Pre-Certified AI Tools Encouraged by the Legislation could Open Up Opportunities for Products in these Categories

    • Impact on AI Use Cases

    • Figure: Use Case Impact Map

    • Understanding the Variables in the Forecast

    • Factors Considered in Forecast Scenarios

    • Factors that Are Not Considered in the Forecast

  • Advice for the Technology Supplier

  • Learn More

    • Related Research

    • Synopsis