By using this site, you agree to the IDC Privacy Policy

Nov 2016 - IDC FutureScape - Doc # US41863216

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Smart Cities 2017 Predictions

Table of Contents

IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Smart Cities 2017 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Figure: Summary of Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2019, Countries with 50% of Their Midsize to Large Cities in the Repeatable Stage or Higher of Smart City Maturity Will Be More Successful in Country Digitization Efforts

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2017, 75% of Cities Worldwide Will Fail to Take Full Advantage of Smart City Data and Digital Assets Due to a Lack of Process, Project Management, and Change Management Skills

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: In 2018, Cities Will Spend 2x More with Partners That Are Committed to Open APIs, Sharing Data, and Long-Term Relationships as Demonstrated via a Sales Force That Can Talk Business Outcomes

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2019, 50% of Open Data Initiatives Will Evolve to Provide Both Free and Monetized Data Services as Cities Test Data Revenue Models and Seek to Justify Open Data Investments

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: City IT Systems Are Attractive Cybertargets, and in 2017, at Least One Midsize to Large City Will Suffer a Cyberattack That Will Impact Its Ability to Effectively Function for One Day

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2018, 20% of Public Safety Agencies Will Test Cognitive Computing to Predict and Prevent Domestic, Mental Health, and Addiction Incidents, Drastically Reducing Service Requests

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2019, 30% of Urban Consumers Will Use Bots or Intelligent Assistants for Multimodal Route Planning to Manage Cost, Carbon Impact, and Other Travel Preferences

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: In 2017, 20% of Cities Will Nudge Transit Behavior by Limiting Parking, Promoting EV and Car Sharing, and Investing in Mobile Payments, Navigation, and Violations Tracking Apps

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: With 180 Million Global LED Street Light Conversions by 2019 and Spending of $80 Billion, Light Infrastructure Will Become the Key Smart City Platform for Connected IoT Devices

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2019, to Scale and Survive, One-Third of Civic Engagement App Companies Will Merge with or Be Acquired by Larger Companies as Part of a Smart City Platform Offering

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

New Funding Models: Accelerating Disruption and Innovation

Shifting Economics: Data as Digital Capital

Talent Crunch: Global Demand for Digital Workers

Platform Economy: The Ecosystem Battle for Scale

Innovation Impasse: Systems of Record Constrain Evolution

Connected Conflict: Convergence of Technology and Privacy

Global Volatility: Competition, Power, and Risk

Learn More

Related Research

Referencing Documents

Related Links