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Table of Contents

IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Smart Cities and Communities 2019 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: In 2019, the Security Weaknesses of Legacy Systems Will Hinder the Adoption of New Technologies in One-Third of Cities with the Connection Between New and Old Systems Posing a Major Security Risk

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2019, 25% of Tier 1 and Tier 2 Cities Will Have Open Data Sharing Platforms That Enable Service Improvements, Private Sector Innovation, and Transparency

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2020, More than 30% of Highly Innovative Smart City Projects Will Be Tested in Small Cities of Fewer than 200,000 Inhabitants

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: To Prevent AI-Related Privacy and Ethical Crises, 40% of Governments Will Develop and Deploy Policies to Prevent Algorithmic Bias and Unethical Data Use by 2021

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2021, 20% of Major Cities Will Have Begun Implementations to Support Automated Vehicles, Leading to Increased Live AV Pilots, Faster Transit Innovations, and Improved Road Safety

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2021, 75% of Major Metropolitan Areas Will Have a Consolidated, Proactive Early Warning Emergency System That Integrates Information to Coordinate All Phases of Disaster Response

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: Investment in Smart City Use Cases Will Reach $158 Billion by 2022, with the Fastest Overall Growth in the Americas and the Most Spending on Fixed Visual Surveillance and Public Transit

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2023, 50% of Cities Will Deploy Platforms That Formalize Crowdsourced Participation in City Budgeting and Neighborhood Decision Making

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2024, 25% of State and Local Governments Will Use Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Technologies for Benefits Distribution, Identity Management, and Permitting and Contracts Management

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: With Water Scarcity a Developing Risk Multiplier, by 2024, 45% of Cities and Communities Will Adopt IoT-Enabled Water Management for Usage and Quality Monitoring and Leak Detection

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Next Chapter of DX — Technology-Driven Transformation Altering Business and Society

Platforms, Platforms, Platforms — Industry Competes for Innovation at Scale

Sense, Compute, Actuate — Turning Data into Value

Emerging Autonomy — Learning to Live With AI

Cyber Insecurity — Theft, Cyberattack, and Negligence Create a Crisis of Digital Trust

Rising Customer Expectations — More Convenience, Customization, and Control

Legacy Inertia — Retrofit the Old into the DX World

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