By using this site, you agree to the IDC Privacy Policy

Oct 2017 - IDC FutureScape - Doc # US42652317

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2018 Predictions

Table of Contents

IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2018 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: Situational Application Needs Will Drive Growth in the Numbers of Low-Code/No Code Developers by Triple Digits Through 2021, with These Nontraditional Developers Building 20% of Business Applications and 30% of New Application Features in 2021

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: The Use of Containers as a Deployment Vehicle for Applications Will Continue to Grow Quickly; by 2021, Over 95% of New MicroservicesWill be Deployed in Containers, But Under 20% of Enterprise ContainersWill House Microservices

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: Cognitive Computing, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning Will Become the Fastest-Growing Segments of Software Development by the End of 2018; by 2021, 90% of Organizations Will be Incorporating Cognitive/AI and Machine Learning into New Enterprise Apps

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2019, Over 70% of Routine Development Life-Cycle Tasks Will Be Automated, Supported by AI Fed from Existing Datastreams, with an Agile DevOps Pipeline Driving and Incubating Life-Cycle and Application Development Intelligence

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: Through 2021, Dev Tools Based on OSS and Polyglot Environments and Multiplatform Support Will Lead to an Increase in Language Agnosticism and Gravitation to a Core Set of Three to Five Best-of-Breed Languages, Although Commercial Support for OSS Dev Environments Will Remain Key

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: Amazon, Google, IBM, Microsoft, and Salesforce (Megaplatforms) Will Win the Minds of Developers Through 2020, When 50% of Developers Will Be Consuming Cloud-Hosted Services from Them, Regardless of Where the Primary Deployment Location Is for These Applications

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: Cloud Functions Will Gradually Transition to Mainstream, Becoming Less Proprietary in the Process, Which Must Happen to Sustain Growth; by 2021, 80% of Fortune 1000 Companies Will Conduct at Least One Routine Task Using Cloud Functions

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: Market Competition and Third-Party Choice Will Dominate Bespoke Cloud Adoption Decisions Through 2021, with up to 70% of Large Enterprises Refusing to Build or Replatform Custom Mission-Critical Solutions on Clouds from Providers That Offer Only Their Own Proprietary PaaS Extensions

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2021, Over 50% of CIOs Will Have Appointed Heads of Delivery; Integrated Their Dev, PMO, and Ops Groups; Reduced Silos; Expanded Their DevOps Practices; and Implemented Shift Left Testing to Accelerate Innovation

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: Development Without Integrated Security and Compliance Will Fail; Progressive Orgs Have Prioritized Security Due to Uptime and Compliance Concerns, Accelerating the Need for Agility and a Curated OSS–Dev Portfolio; Security-Led Development Will Be a Priority for 90% of Orgs by 2020

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Accelerating DX: Technology-Centric Transformation Altering Business and Society

Pace of Change: Technology Capabilities Enable Sustainable Change at the Speed of Digital Business

DX Delta: Leaders and Disruptors Widen Performance Gap

Human Versus Machine: The Impact of AI and Automation

Platform Disruption: Unleashing Digital Innovation's Power for Scale

The Future Workforce: Global Demand for Digital Talent

Learn More

Referencing Documents

Related Links