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Oct 2017 - IDC FutureScape - Doc # US43156217

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Connected Vehicle 2018 Predictions

Table of Contents

IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Connected Vehicle 2018 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2021, as Cars Move to Levels 4 and 5 Autonomy and 5G Becomes a Reality, Automotive OEMs Will See a Revenue Margin Increase of 5 Percentage Points Through Delivery of Customized, Dynamic In-Vehicle Content Related to Driving Behavior and Vehicle Performance

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2019, 15% of Tier 1 Suppliers Will Be Connected with Automotive OEMs Through Distributed Ledgers to Improve Security and Reduce Cycle Time for Automotive Systems Design

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2020, 25% of OEMs Will Monetize Their Contributions to Connected Vehicle Data Marketplaces, Relying on the Broader Ecosystem of Participants to Collaborate with and Create New Offerings and Services

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2020, Content Distributors Will Obtain 20% of Their Revenue from Streaming Infotainment Services After Adapting Their Business Models and Distribution Strategies to Include Connectivity as Part of the Service Bundle

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2020, Non-Auto OEM Smart Assistants Will Permeate to Passenger Vehicles, Each Expanding Their Reach to Include Vehicle Management and Hands-Free Capabilities, Specifically by Creating a More Seamless Vehicle Experience, Available in 30% of Passenger Vehicles Worldwide

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: In Response to Developments in Connected Vehicles and Pressures for Improved Safety, by 2020, 20% of Midsize to Large Cities Will Begin to Implement V2X Capabilities to Optimize Traffic Flow and Significantly Reduce Collisions

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2019, 50% of Federal and National Governments Will Have Established Legislation on the Testing and Performance of SAE Levels 4 and 5 of Driver Automation, Shortening Timelines for the Development and Mass Availability of Autonomous Vehicles by 12–18 Months

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2021, Teleoperations Will Have Improved the Delivery Times of Long-Haul Truck Fleets by up to 30%

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2020, 40% of Global Automotive Manufacturers Will Use a Digital Twin of 50% of Vehicle Models Throughout Their Life Cycle to Speed Design Collaboration and Reduce the Cost of Quality Defects and Service Delivery by 25%

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2020, Vehicles Over $50,000 Will Have an Average of 15 Sensor Systems per Car, Enabling a Wide Variety of ADAS Features and/or SAE Levels 2/3 Driving Automation Functionality

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Accelerating DX — Technology-Centric Transformation Altering Business and Society

Pace of Change — Technology Capabilities Enable Sustainable Change at the Speed of Digital Business

Human Versus Machine — The Impact of AI and Automation

Sense, Compute, Actuate — The New Data-Centric Paradigm

Platform Disruption — Unleashing Digital Innovation's Power for Scale

Cyberthreats — Theft, Ransom, and Cyberattack on the Rise

DX Delta — Leaders and Disruptors Widen Performance Gap

Learn More

Referencing Documents

Related Links