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Oct 2017 - IDC FutureScape - Doc # US43159217

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Security Products and Services 2018 Predictions

Table of Contents

IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Security Products and Services 2018 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2021, Geopolitical Tensions, Boundaryless Cybercrime, and a 30% Increase in Attributable State-Sponsored Cyberespionage Will Drive Efforts for a Cyber Geneva Convention

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: Isolation Environments Will Be Used to Support "Validating the Known" to Protect 20% of Endpoints by 2020

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2020, 30% of Security Spending Will Be on Vendors That Provide an Integrated Platform Approach to Security

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2020, Deception Programs Will Be Deployed by 60% of Global 2000 Companies to Fool Automated Attacks, Increase Attacker Costs, and Improve Attribution

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2020, 50% of Security Telemetry Will Be Made More Useful via the Use of Machine Learning and Cognitive Software, Which Will Ingest and Curate It into Actionable and Intelligent Data at Record Speed

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2020, Security Vendors Will See a 25% Drop in Revenue Because of the Use of Cloud Connectors, Public Cloud In-House Security Services, and Cloud Security Service Providers

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2021, 15% of All Cybersecurity Hardware Will Carry with It a Test Seal Certifying Its Baseline Effectiveness and Capabilities

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2021, New Regulation Will Require Software Suppliers to Provide a Bill of Materials to Strengthen Risk Analysis Conducted in 50% of New Enterprise Projects

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2021, a Vulnerability Exposed in a Widely Used Open Source OS Will Leave 10% of the World's PaaS/IaaS Cloud Vulnerable to Breach

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2021, 25% of the World's Personal Data Will Be Compromised and Housed in a Data Lake Analyzed and Utilized by Consortiums of Threat Actors

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Accelerating DX — Technology-Centric Transformation Altering Business and Society

Human Versus Machine — The Impact of AI and Automation

Global Volatility — Political, Social, and Economic Disturbance

Sense, Compute, Actuate — The New Data-Centric Paradigm

Cyberthreats — Theft, Ransom, and Cyberattack on the Rise

Empowering the Material World — Revolutionized Processes Expand Technology Reach

Platform Disruption — Unleashing Digital Innovation's Power for Scale

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Related Research

Referencing Documents

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