Table of Contents

IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2019 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2024, 60% of Firms Will Have Adopted ML/AI Analytics for DevOps, Accelerating Software Delivery and Improving Quality, Security, and Compliance via Data Integration, Auto Triggers, and Predictive ALM

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2024, a New Class of Developers That Build Applications Without Writing Code Will Account for 20% of all Developers. These Developers Will Accelerate DX

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2024, DevSecOps Will Be Automated to the Extent That 60% of New Applications Will Have Comprehensive Security and Compliance Assessment Included in the Continuous Delivery Pipeline

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2022, Over Half of the Code in 75% of New Apps Will Be from External Sources. The Need to Improve Developer Productivity Is Driving the Use of Open Source and Commercial Code Repositories

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2023, 25% of Firms Will Use AI in 40% of Development — as well as in CI, Code Reviews, Testing, Provisioning, and Management — and AI Guidance Will Be Part of Architecture Design and Data Strategy

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2020, Tool Innovation Will Have Improved Visually Guided Functionality, Using Widgets or Visual Frameworks, and Traditional Developers Will Use Modeling in 60% of the Apps They Develop

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2024, Quantum Computing Advances Will Have Enabled Simulation, Modeling, and Analytics That Are Too Complex for Classic Computers and Will Have Overtaken and Displaced 20% of Classic AI/ML Tools

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2022, the Acceleration of Legacy App Modernization and Net-New Development Will Lead to 35% of Production Apps Being Cloud Native — Utilizing Microservices, Containers, and Dynamic Orchestration

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2021, the Key Consideration for 75% of Enterprises Deploying Custom Solutions Will Shift from Cloud Platform Choice to an Optimization of Cost, Performance, Best Compute Option, and Best Location

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2022, the Top 4 Clouds Will Host 80% of PaaS/IaaS Deployments, While Firms Will Work to Avoid Lock-In on 60% of Their Apps via Multicloud, Least Common Denominator, OSS, and Cloud-Native Strategies

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

Timing: The Sooner the Better

Embrace New Technologies

It's Not Just Tools: Process and People Are Key, Too

Nontraditional Developers' Day Is Coming

Remain Vigilant and Watch for Potential Lock-In

External Drivers: Detail

The Race to Innovate: Speed of Change, Delivery, and Operations Separates Thrivers and Survivors

Legacy Inertia: Retrofit the Old into the DX World

Platforms, Platforms, Platforms: Industry Competes for Innovation at Scale

Skills Gap: Fast-Changing Technology Opens Up a Substantial Shortage of Technical Expertise, Particularly in Some Regional Areas

New Nature of Risk: Innovation Requires New Thinking in Security and Risk Management

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