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Table of Contents

IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Security Products and Services 2019 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2022, Enforcement of PII Laws Will Severely Impact at Least One G2000 Firm by Imposing a Huge Fine and Restriction of Trading, Raising C-Suite Concern, and Inducing Annual Reporting on Digital Risk

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2021, Fully 50% of Legitimate Security Alerts Will Have an Automated Response, Untouched by Human Analysts

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: 90% of Managed Security Services Customers Will Adopt Threat Life-Cycle Services by 2024, Rising from 50% in 2019

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2024, Quantum Computing Will Have Evolved Enough That 25% of Nation-States Will Have the Means to Decrypt Current Public Key Infrastructure Technologies

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2024, 20% of Digital Personae Are Linked to a Verifiable Government Identity

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: In 2019, There Are Roughly 1,400 Companies Offering Cybersecurity Services or Products of Significance; by 2023, the Number of Cybersecurity Companies Will Drop by Nearly 40% from 2019

Associated Drivers

IT impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2021, Demand for Key Management as a Service Will Rise by 20%, with an Emphasis on Native Encryption Services from Public Cloud Providers

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2022, Anonymity Will Only Exist on the Dark Web; 100% of Those Conducting Commerce or Social Activities Will Be Either Pseudonymous (Identity Protected But Available with Court Order) or Identified

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2024, the United Nations Will Endorse an "Internet Blockade" as an Economic Sanction Against at Least One Violating Country or Regime

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2023, Data Migration Projects Associated with Adoption of Big Data Analytics Platforms Will Prompt Security Teams to Eliminate Siloed and Encryption Solutions and Consolidate 30% of Encryption Spend

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Next Chapter of DX: Technology-Driven Transformation Altering Business and Society

Platforms, Platforms, Platforms: Industry Competes for Innovation at Scale

Sense, Compute, Actuate: Turning Data into Value

New Nature of Risk: Innovation Requires New Thinking in Security and Risk Management

Global Information Crisis: Political, Social, and Economic Disturbance

Cyber Insecurity: Theft, Cyberattack, and Negligence Create a Crisis of Digital Trust

Rising Customer Expectations: More Convenience, Customization, and Control

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Related Research

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