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Table of Contents

IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Analytics and Artificial Intelligence 2019 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2023, Commoditization of Ever-Higher Layers of Analytics and AI Technology Will Result in 15% of the Current Spend on These Items Being Replaced by Spend on Insights as a Service

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2024, Annual 7% Rise in AI-Based IT Implementation Project Automation Will Drive a New Wave of Business Process Redesign, Requiring Services from Firms with Deep Industry and Functional Expertise

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2021, Algorithm Opacity, Decision Bias, Malicious Use of AI, and Data Regulations Will Result in Doubling of Spending on Relevant Governance and Compliance Staff and Explainability Teams

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2022, Reflecting the Need for Localized Data Processing and Enabled by 5G, 25% of Endpoint Devices and Systems Will Contain AI Algorithms, Driving Two-Thirds of the Total Annually Shipped Compute Power

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2024, AI-Enabled Human-Computer Interfaces and Business Process Automation Will Replace a Third of Today's Screen-Based B2B and B2C Applications

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2021, 65% of New Spending in Analytics Will Use an Event-Driven Architecture and Streaming Pipelines to Ingest Data, Process Data, Evaluate and Score Predictions, Make Decisions, and Initiate Actions

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2023, Growth in Demand for the Management of Data in Multiple Formats Will Cause Spending on Multimodel Databases to Represent 25% of the Spending on NoSQL Databases

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2021, Synthetic AI Model Training Data Created Using Small Amounts of Actual Data and Large Amounts of Simulated Data Will Be Available via Data Markets, Doubling New AI Models Development Speed

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2022, Affective Computing (Emotion AI) Will Include Vision and Voice Technologies and See an Increase of 25% in Real-World Applications

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2022, 75% of IT Operations Will Be Supplanted by AI or Analytics-Driven Automation, Resulting in over 25% Opex Savings

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Next Chapter of DX — Technology-Driven Transformation Altering Business and Society

The Race to Innovate — Speed of Change, Delivery, and Operations Separates Thrivers and Survivors

Platforms, Platforms, Platforms — Industry Competes for Innovation at Scale

Sense, Compute, Actuate — Turning Data into Value

Emerging Autonomy — Learning to Live with AI

Rising Customer Expectations — More Convenience, Customization, and Control

Legacy Inertia — Retrofit the Old into the DX World

Learn More

Related Research

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