Table of Contents
IDC FutureScape Figure
Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2020 Top 10 Predictions
Executive Summary
IDC FutureScape Predictions
Summary of External Drivers
Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
Prediction 1: By 2023, 66% of Firms Will Be Beyond Piloting AI/ML as Part of Application Development, with Nearly 10% Optimizing AI/ML Across Development, Design, Quality, Security, and Deployment
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 2: By 2024, 80% of All New Applications Developed Using a Programming Language Will Be Deployed in Containers to Gain the Benefits of Deployment Speed, Application Consistency, and Portability
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 3: The Number of Part-Time Developers Such as Business Analysts, Data Analysts, and Data Scientists Worldwide Will Double From 6.8 Million in 2019 to 13.6 Million in 2025, Reflecting a 12.3% CAGR
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 4: By 2023, the Number of Organizations That Release Code to Production Daily for Select Applications Will Rise to 40% from 3% in 2019
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 5: By 2022, the Acceleration of Legacy App Modernization and Net-New Development Will Lead to 35% of Production Apps Being Cloud Native — Utilizing Microservices, Containers, and Dynamic Orchestration
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 6: By 2022, 50% of DevOps Teams Will Invest in Tools to Focus on Business KPIs (Cost, Revenue, etc.), and Operations Will Play a Larger Role in End-to-End App Performance and Business Impact
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 7: Growing Reliance on Open Source Components in Apps Drives a Sharp Increase in Software Component Analysis Tools and Related Utilities, and the Use Will Grow from a Minority of Organizations to >65% by 2023
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 8: By 2023, 60% of the G2000 Enterprises Will Have Created Their Own Software Ecosystem, While 90% Will Use Publicly Accessible Community Repositories to Access Reusable Code Components
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 9: By 2023, Use of Open Source Software from Public Repositories Used to Build Enterprise Apps Will Double to 40%; the Remaining 60% of Code Is Custom for an Organization's Business Model or Use Case
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 10: By 2025, Less than 50% of Apps Will Be Fully DevOps Enabled; Enterprises Have Determined That Not All Apps Benefit from Operational Complexity Associated with CI/CD Across Development and Production
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Advice for Technology Buyers
External Drivers: Detail
Skills Gap: Fast-Changing Technology That Opens Up a Substantial Shortage of Technical Expertise, Particularly in Some Regional Areas
Description
Context
Intelligence Everywhere: AI's Opportunity and Implications
Description
Context
Technical Complexity: Today's Rapid Evolution of Software Raising, Not Lowering, Technical Debt
Description
Context
The Future of Work: Agile, Augmented, Borderless, and Reconfigurable
Description
Context
Legacy Obsolescence: Old Systems That Represent Technical Debt and a Drag on Innovation
Description
Context
The Age of Innovation: Driving the Future Enterprise
Description
Context
Accelerated Disruption: Navigating Business Challenges as Volatility Intensifies
Description
Context
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