Table of Contents

IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Next-Generation Automotive 2020 Top Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2021, 50% of Automotive OEMs Will Enable Mobile Edge Computing in New Vehicles as Part of Their Connected Vehicle Platform to Support Enhanced Applications, Services, and Operational Efficiency

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2021, 70% of OEMs Will Expand the Reach of Their Data Management and Monetization Partnerships to Open New Business Opportunities and Reduce the Impact of External Data Market Pressures

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2022, 75% of OEMs Will Employ Cross-Industry Digital Innovation Platforms to Aid Product Development, Supplier Collaboration, and Simplify Big Data Strategies, Resulting in a 10% Opex Improvement

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2022, over 70% of Automotive OEMs Will Integrate Technologies Such as AI and IoT in New Vehicle Models to More Seamlessly Integrate Automation Systems and In-Vehicle Infotainment

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2022, the Cost of Independently Developing Complex AV Systems Will Drive over 50% of OEMs to Acquire and/or Partner with Autonomous Vehicle Platform Providers to Reach Market

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: Due to the Need to Personalize and Enhance the Customer Experience, by 2023, 65% of Automotive OEMs Will Design Using Real-Time Data, Increasing Revenue by 40% and Reducing Recalls by 25%

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2023, 60% of OEMs Will Begin Voluntarily Manufacturing V2X-Capable Vehicles Driven by the Cost, Technology, and Ecosystem Maturation of C-V2X and DSRC and Increased Regulatory Clarity

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2024, G8 Countries Will Mandate That SAE Level 4– and Level 5–Capable AVs Include a Human-Operated Backup Mode for Added Safety

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2025, 60% of Global OEMs Will Partner with Utilities to Aid EV Battery Development, Energy Storage, Distribution, and Charging, Driving a 5% Further Increase to Expected Global EV Sales

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2025, 10% of Levels 2 and 3 Autonomous Vehicles Will Incorporate Enhanced Heads-Up Displays to Improve Driver Safety, Awareness, and Productivity by 20%

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

The Age of Innovation: Driving the Future Enterprise

Crisis of Digital Trust: Escalating Threats Mandate Strategic Responses

Economies of Intelligence: AI, Human, and Organizational "Learning" Fuels Asymmetrical Advantage

Intelligence Everywhere: AI's Opportunity and Implications

Rising Customer Expectations: More Convenience, Customization, and Control

Sense, Compute, Act: Maximizing Data Value

The Platform Economy: Competing at Hyperscale

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