IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide IT Industry 2020 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Figure: Worldwide Nominal GDP Driven by Digitally Transformed Versus Other Enterprises, 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2023e

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2024, Over 50% of All IT Spending Will Be Directly for Digital Transformation and Innovation (up from 31% in 2018), Growing at a CAGR of 17% (Versus 2% for the Rest of IT)

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2022, 70% of Enterprises Will Integrate Cloud Management — Across Their Public and Private Clouds — by Deploying Unified Hybrid/Multicloud Technologies, Management Tools, and Processes

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2023, over 50% of New Enterprise IT Infrastructure Deployed Will Be at the Edge Rather than Corporate Datacenters, up from Less than 10% Today; by 2024, the Number of Apps at the Edge Will Increase 800%

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2025, Nearly Two-Thirds of Enterprises Will Be Prolific Software Producers — with Code Deployed Daily, over 90% of New Apps Cloud Native, 80% of Code Externally Sourced, and 1.6 Times More Developers

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2023, over 500 Million Digital Apps and Services Will Be Developed and Deployed Using Cloud-Native Approaches, Most of Those Targeted at Industry-Specific Digital Transformation Use Cases

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2025, at Least 90% of New Enterprise Apps Will Embed AI; by 2024, over 50% of User Interface Interactions Will Use AI-Enabled Computer Vision, Speech, Natural Language Processing, and AR/VR

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2023, 50% of the G2000 Will Name a Chief Trust Officer, Who Orchestrates Trust Across Functions Including Security, Finance, HR, Risk, Sales, Production, and Legal

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2023, 60% of the G2000 Will Have a Digital Developer Ecosystem with Thousands of Developers; Half of Those Enterprises Will Drive 20%+ of Digital Revenue Through Their Digital Ecosystem/Platform

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2025, 20% of Revenue Growth Will Be from "White Space" Offerings That Combine Digital Services from Previously Unlinked Industries, and One-Fifth of Partners Will Be from Previously Unlinked Industries

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2023, the Top 5 Public Cloud Megaplatforms Will Make Up at Least 75% of Market Share; the Top 10 Pure-Play SaaS Vendors Will Generate an Average of Nearly 20% of Revenue from Expanding PaaS Solutions

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

The Age of Innovation: Driving the Future Enterprise

Accelerated Disruption: Navigating Business Challenges as Volatility Intensifies

The Platform Economy: Competing at Hyperscale

Sense, Compute, Act: Maximizing Data Value

Intelligence Everywhere: AI's Opportunity and Implications

Economies of Intelligence: AI, Human, and Organizational "Learning" Fuels Asymmetrical Advantage

Rising Customer Expectations: More Convenience, Customization, and Control

Crisis of Digital Trust: Escalating Threats Mandate Strategic Responses

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