IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2021 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2025, Up to a Quarter of Fortune 500 Companies Will Become Software Producers, to Digitally Transform and Maintain Their F-500 Status

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: Driven by Competitive Pressures and Continued Social Distancing, 40% of Development Activities in 2021 Will Reprioritize Design and User Interface to Support Contactless Process Automation

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: Reuse of Third-Party Code in New Apps and Digital Solutions Will Increase from 40% in 2020 to 80% of Code in 2024, Leading to a Corresponding Increase in the Number of Apps Produced Each Year by 1.5x

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2024, Nearly 60% of Organizations' New Custom-Developed Applications Will Be Built and Managed Using Microservices and Containers as Foundations for Stronger and Higher-Performing Automation

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: To Make DevOps Data Actionable by 2023, 70% of Enterprises Will Embrace ML, AI, and Robotic Process Automation with Scriptless Automation to Improve Efficiency, Remote Collaboration, and Execution

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2025, the ROI for Individual Enterprise Apps Will Increase by 35% After Rigorous Assessment Efforts Help Cull Low Business Value Projects

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2024, 55% of Organizations Will Be Using Business-Driven Value Stream Management as a Means of Tracking Business Value and ROI Throughout the DevOps Pipeline

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: As Automation Accelerates Development, DevOps, and DevSecOps, by 2023, 90% of New Apps Will Be Built/Released on Demand Using Policy-Driven Security and Compliance Assessments in the Delivery Pipeline

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2022, More Than 60% of DevOps Teams Will Be Evaluated on KPIs and Performance Metrics Including Criterion Tied to Business Outcomes Such as Customer Satisfaction or New Revenue Gains

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2024, a New Class of Developers Responsible for Managing Digital Estates Will Represent 10% of All Full-Time Developers; They Will Be Charged with Sourcing and Reusing Digital Solutions

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Accelerated Disruption — Crisis, Resilience, and Opportunity

Description

Context

Digital Platform — Ecosystems at Scale

Description

Context

Intelligence Everywhere — Data Drives Action

Description

Context

Strategic Innovation — Shaping the Future Enterprise Today

Description

Context

Technical Complexity — Today's Rapid Evolution of Software Raising, Not Lowering, Technical Debt

Description

Context

The Next Normal — Resilient Business and Operating Models

Description

Context

Skills Gap — Fast-Changing Technology That Opens Up a Substantial Shortage of Technical Expertise, Particularly in Some Regional Areas

Description

Context

Learn More

Related Research