IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Future of Digital Innovation 2021 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2025, Up to a Quarter of Fortune 500 Companies Will Become Software Producers to Digitally Transform and Maintain Their F-500 Status

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction2: Through 2022, Three Out of Four Organizations Will Need to Remediate Technical Debt Around Design, Quality, and Security of the Applications That Were Stood Up Rapidly During the Pandemic

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2024, Net-New Production-Grade Cloud-Native Apps Will Increase to 70% from 10% of All Apps in 2020, Due to Adoption of Technologies Such as Microservices, Containers, Dynamic Orchestration, and DevOps

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: Reuse of Third-Party Code in New Apps and Digital Solutions Will Increase from 40% in 2020 to 80% of Code in 2024, Leading to a Corresponding Increase in the Number of Apps Produced Each Year by 1.5x

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2023, the Need for G2000 Companies to Access and Monetize Multipartner Solutions Will Lead to 5x Growth in Marketplaces Facilitated by SaaS-Based Ecosystem Orchestration Platform Deployment

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2024, 50% of G2000 Enterprises Will Sell Internally Developed Industry-Specific Software and Data Services as a Subscription, Leveraging Deep Domain Knowledge to Open Profitable New Revenue Streams

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2022, 40% of the Fortune 500 Will Reengineer Culture and Collaborative Practices — Shifting from Authorized to Empowered Teams, Which Are Then Measured by Metrics Aligned to Team Success

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: The Percentage of Apps That Feature Curated Content Will Grow from 10% in 2020 to 60% in 2024 as Concerns on the Veracity of Application Content Lead to Maturation of Technologies for Content Curation

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2023, 60% of Global 1000 Companies Will Shift Security to Earlier in the Development Process So That Security Engages with DevOps Teams to Review Application Architecture and Release Plans Early On

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2024, in Part to Fill the Developer Shortfall, 45% of Staff in Organizations with 1,000+ People Will Have Some Development or Automation Duty, Making Them the Fastest-Growing Employee Type

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Accelerated Disruption — Crisis, Resilience, and Opportunity

Description

Context

Customer Engagement Redefined — Safe, Secure, and Sustainable Digital Experience

Description

Context

Digital Platform — Ecosystems at Scale

Description

Context

Intelligence Everywhere — Data Drives Action

Description

Context

Strategic Innovation — Shaping the Future Enterprise Today

Description

Context

The Next Normal — Resilient Business and Operating Models

Description

Context

Work Transformation — Redefining Teams, Skills, and Leadership

Description

Context

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