TECH BUYER Dec 2020 - IDC FutureScape - Doc # US46420120

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Cloud 2021 Predictions

By: Deepak Mohan, Brad CasemoreResearch Vice President, Research Vice President, Datacenter and Multicloud Networks, Larry Carvalho, Stacy Crook, Carla ArendSenior Program Director: Lead Analyst, Cloud in Europe, Frank Della RosaResearch Director, SaaS and Cloud Software, Mary Johnston TurnerResearch Vice President, Future of Digital Infrastructure, Andrew SmithResearch Manager, Cloud Infrastructure Services, Daphne ChungResearch Director, Cloud Services and Software Research, IDC Asia/Pacific, Dave McCarthyResearch Vice President, Cloud and Edge Infrastructure Services, Mickey North RizzaProgram Vice President, Enterprise Applications and Digital Commerce, Stephen ElliotGroup Vice President, I&O, Cloud Operations, and DevOps, Adelaide O'BrienResearch Director, Government Digital Transformation Strategies, Carl W. OlofsonResearch Vice President, Data Management Software, Satoshi MatsumotoResearch Director, IT Services, IDC Japan, Michelle Bailey, Megha KumarResearch Director, Software and Cloud Services, Ashish NadkarniGroup Vice President, Infrastructure Systems, Platforms and Technologies Group, Eric NewmarkGroup Vice President of IDC’s SaaS, Enterprise Apps, Industry Cloud division, David TapperProgram Vice President, Outsourcing and Managed Cloud Services, Thomas ZhouAssociate Vice President, Enterprise System and Software Research, IDC China, Matthew EastwoodSenior Vice President, Enterprise Infrastructure, Cloud, Developers and Alliances, Rick VillarsGroup Vice President Worldwide Research

Table of Contents

IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Cloud 2021 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: Through 2021, All Enterprises Will Struggle with App Modernization and Data Integration Across Cloud Silos; 20% Will Adopt Connected Cloud Architectures to Overcome These Concerns

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Business Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2021, over 80% of Enterprises Evaluating Cloud Services for Privacy-Sensitive Workloads Will Mandate Maintenance of Data Sovereignty and Data Control Capabilities Across Geographies

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Business Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: To Gain Business Agility, Enterprises Will Commit to Modernizing over Half of Their Existing Applications by 2022, Through the Use of Turnkey Cloud-Native Development and Deployment Services

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Business Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: Through 2022, the Belief That They Are Wasting at Least 20% of Their Public Cloud Spending Will Drive Enterprises to Invest in Public Cloud Cost Management, with the Goal of Cutting Cloud Waste in Half

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2022, Enterprises Will Allocate 20% of New Cloud Services Spending to Cloud Solutions That Meet Specific Industry and Ecosystem Data-Sharing Requirements for Their Vertical Segment

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2023, over a Quarter of New Workloads Being Deployed on Public Clouds Will Use Purpose-Built Silicon and Infrastructure Components from Providers, to Optimize for Use Case–Specific Requirements

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2023, Enterprise Demand for Portable, Feature-Rich SaaS Solutions, Consumable on Their Choice of Cloud, Will Drive over 60% of ISVs to Re-Architect or Build New Portable Cloud-Native Applications

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2023, over 55% of Enterprises Will Replace Outdated Operational Models with Cloud-Centric Models That Facilitate Rather Than Inhibit Organizational Collaboration, Resulting in Better Business Outcomes

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Business Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2024, 25% of Organizations Will Improve Business Agility by Integrating Edge Data with Applications Built on Cloud Platforms, Enabled by Partnerships Across Cloud and Communications Service Providers

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2025, over a Quarter of New Cloud Applications Will Use Data-Centric Event-Driven Architectures Rather Than Traditional Code-Centric Ones, Enabling Better Automation and Business Agility

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Accelerated Disruption — Crisis, Resilience, and Opportunity

The Next Normal — Resilient Business and Operating Models

Intelligence Everywhere — Data Drives Action

Rethinking Globalization — Disruptions Challenge Resilience

Digital Platform — Ecosystems at Scale

Crisis of Trust — Meeting Rising Expectations

Customer Engagement Redefined — Safe, Secure, and Sustainable Digital Experience

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Related Research

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