Table of Contents
IDC FutureScape Figure
Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Future of Trust 2021 Top 10 Predictions
Executive Summary
IDC FutureScape Predictions
Summary of External Drivers
Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
Prediction 1: By 2022, Budgets for Modern Software-Defined Secure Access Solutions Will Quadruple as Flaws in Legacy VPN Remote Access Solutions Are Illuminated by the Massive Work-From-Home Migration
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 2: By 2023, to Reduce Security Complexity Faced by Limited Staff, 55% of Enterprise Security Investments Will Be on Unified Ecosystem and Platform Frameworks
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 3: By 2024, Two of the Three Largest Public Cloud Providers Will Be Among the Top 5 Largest Managed Security Services Providers Following Multiple Multibillion-Dollar Acquisitions
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 4: By 2025, 80% of Chief Trust Officers Will Demand Vendors to Incorporate Security and Risk Capabilities to Measure Corporate Trust Including Vendor Relationships and Employee Reputation
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 5: By 2023, Collective Risk Management Requirements Between Primary and Third Parties Will Force 50% of Third-Party Risk and Security Service Providers to Employ Advanced Analytic Tools
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 6: By 2023, Privacy Regulations in 50% of G20 Countries Will Require That Social Media Providers Provide the Option to Delete Content and Data About Children Under Age 16 as They Become "of Age"
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 7: By 2021, 40% of Organizations Will Leverage Employee Productivity Software to Monitor and Improve the Digital Workflows of Their Full-Time, Work-From-Home Employees
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 8: By 2022, a Consortium of Healthcare, Insurance Providers and Technology Vendors Will Adopt a Digital Identity Framework Used for Contact-Tracing Applications Using Distributed Ledger Technologies
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 9: By 2023, 42% of Organizations Will Be Held to Regulatory Certification That Their AI- and ML-Based Algorithmic Systems Are Ethical (Free of Bias and Discrimination) and Transparent
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 10: By 2023, 35% of the Largest Organizations Must Demonstrate Social Responsibility Initiatives Through Internal Structures and Processes and Publicly Reporting the Results in Financial Statements
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Advice for Technology Buyers
External Drivers: Detail
Strategic Innovation — Shaping the Future Enterprise Today
Description
Context
The Next Normal — Resilient Business and Operating Models
Description
Context
Intelligence Everywhere — Data Drives Action
Description
Context
Geopolitical Risk — Societal and Economic Tensions Escalate
Description
Context
Digital Platform — Ecosystems at Scale
Description
Context
Crisis of Trust — Meeting Rising Expectations
Description
Context
Digital Divide — The Imperative of Connectivity
Description
Context
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Related Research
Program Vice President, Cybersecurity Products, Mark Child
Research Manager, European Security, Rory Duncan
Research Vice President , Cloud Service Providers, Cathy Huang
Associate Research Director, Services and Security, IDC Asia/Pacific, Christopher Kissel
Research Director, Security & Trust Products, Ryan O’Leary
Research Manager, Privacy and Legal Technology, Ralf Helkenberg
Research Manager, European Privacy and Data Security, Christina Richmond
Program Vice President, Security Services, Craig Robinson
Program Director , Security Services, Simon Piff
Vice President of Security Practice, Christopher Rodriguez
Research Manager, Cybersecurity Products, Michael Suby
Research Vice President, Security & Trust, Martha Vazquez, James Wester, Marta Muñoz Méndez-Villamil
Senior Research Director and Lead Technology & Sustainability Practice, IDC EMEA