IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Future of Trust 2021 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2022, Budgets for Modern Software-Defined Secure Access Solutions Will Quadruple as Flaws in Legacy VPN Remote Access Solutions Are Illuminated by the Massive Work-From-Home Migration

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2023, to Reduce Security Complexity Faced by Limited Staff, 55% of Enterprise Security Investments Will Be on Unified Ecosystem and Platform Frameworks

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2024, Two of the Three Largest Public Cloud Providers Will Be Among the Top 5 Largest Managed Security Services Providers Following Multiple Multibillion-Dollar Acquisitions

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2025, 80% of Chief Trust Officers Will Demand Vendors to Incorporate Security and Risk Capabilities to Measure Corporate Trust Including Vendor Relationships and Employee Reputation

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2023, Collective Risk Management Requirements Between Primary and Third Parties Will Force 50% of Third-Party Risk and Security Service Providers to Employ Advanced Analytic Tools

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2023, Privacy Regulations in 50% of G20 Countries Will Require That Social Media Providers Provide the Option to Delete Content and Data About Children Under Age 16 as They Become "of Age"

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2021, 40% of Organizations Will Leverage Employee Productivity Software to Monitor and Improve the Digital Workflows of Their Full-Time, Work-From-Home Employees

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2022, a Consortium of Healthcare, Insurance Providers and Technology Vendors Will Adopt a Digital Identity Framework Used for Contact-Tracing Applications Using Distributed Ledger Technologies

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2023, 42% of Organizations Will Be Held to Regulatory Certification That Their AI- and ML-Based Algorithmic Systems Are Ethical (Free of Bias and Discrimination) and Transparent

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2023, 35% of the Largest Organizations Must Demonstrate Social Responsibility Initiatives Through Internal Structures and Processes and Publicly Reporting the Results in Financial Statements

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Strategic Innovation — Shaping the Future Enterprise Today

Description

Context

The Next Normal — Resilient Business and Operating Models

Description

Context

Intelligence Everywhere — Data Drives Action

Description

Context

Geopolitical Risk — Societal and Economic Tensions Escalate

Description

Context

Digital Platform — Ecosystems at Scale

Description

Context

Crisis of Trust — Meeting Rising Expectations

Description

Context

Digital Divide — The Imperative of Connectivity

Description

Context

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