IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Digital Automotive and Transportation Strategies 2021 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2022, 40% of Manufacturer Autonomous Vehicle Programs Will Increase Their Reliance on Third-Party Hardware and Software to Reduce Time to Market and Improve Development Costs

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2022, 50% of Transportation Ecosystem Providers That Successfully Integrate Micromobility Service Options into Their Portfolios Will Be Rewarded with a 50% Improvement in Customer Satisfaction

Associated Drivers

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Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2022, 25% of Automotive Manufacturers Will Deploy 3D Immersive Digital Dealership Solutions to Enable End-to-End Design-to-Delivery Experiences, Driving a 2% Increase in Customer NPS

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2023, 60% of the Global Top 50 Logistics Operators Will Have Deployed Electric Vehicles in Their Existing Commercial Fleet to Meet 15% of Their Last-Mile Delivery Needs

Associated Drivers

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Guidance

Prediction 5: As a Result of COVID-19 Transit Service and Revenue Pressures, 40% of Cities with 500,000+ Residents Will Adopt Technologies and Platforms to Increase Private Transportation Solution Usage by 2023

Associated Drivers

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Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2023, 60% of Major Autonomous Vehicle Platform Providers Will Formally Introduce Product Offerings or Partnerships to Enable Autonomous Goods Delivery

Associated Drivers

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Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2024, 50% of Automotive Manufacturers Will Pursue Open Source and Standards-Based Technologies to Ease the Deployment, Updating, and Scaling of Current and Future Connected Vehicle Offerings

Associated Drivers

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Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2025, 30% of Automotive Manufacturers Will Deploy Over-the-Air Updates to Their Vehicles on a Dependable Basis, Leading to a Notable Increase in Revenue from Their Software Development Efforts

Associated Drivers

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Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2025, 70% of Transit Authorities Will Leverage Common Data Standards to Integrate Transportation Network Company Services to Expand Availability and Multimodal Transportation for Customers

Associated Drivers

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Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2026, 35% of Fleet Operators Will Leverage Dynamic, Predictive Vehicle Repair and Service Capabilities, Powered by Enhanced Telematics to Increase Total Miles Driven by 15%

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Accelerated Disruption — Crisis, Resilience, and Opportunity

Description

Context

Strategic Innovation — Shaping the Future Enterprise Today

Description

Context

The Next Normal — Resilient Business and Operating Models

Description

Context

Intelligence Everywhere — Data Drives Action

Description

Context

Digital Platform — Ecosystems at Scale

Description

Context

Customer Engagement Redefined — Safe, Secure, and Sustainable Digital Experience

Description

Context

Digital Divide — The Imperative of Connectivity

Description

Context

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