IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2022 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: Traditional DevOps Automation and Processes Are Disrupted by Kubernetes and Cloud-Native Development Such That by 2024, 35% of DevOps Adopters Will Embrace More Streamlined GitOps Automation Processes

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2024, 55% of Organizations Using DevOps Processes Will Demand DevOps Pipeline Security Such as Audit Trails to Focus on Secure Software Supply Chain and Lower the Potential for Compromise in the Future

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2022, 20% of Large Organizations Will Have Permanent Representation by Business into Tech Teams or Vice Versa, Ensuring Internal Collaborative Efforts and Self-Service Apps That Meet Business Needs

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: Advancements in Refactoring Technologies Through 2027 Will Automate 60% of the Refactoring of Legacy Applications, Increasing the Speed with Which Legacy Applications Are Modernized by 20 Times

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2025, 75% of Newly Developed Applications Will Include Some Automatically Generated Code, Freeing up Humans to Focus on Development Tasks That Are Not Easily Automated

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2024, DevOps Maturity Will Shift Further Left with 50% of DevOps Teams Evaluated Primarily on Business Metrics Such as Customer Satisfaction, Margins, Cloud Costs, and Other Business Outcomes

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: The Percentage of Large Organizations That Deploy Code to Production Daily Will Increase from 5% in 2021 to 70% in 2025 as a Result of Widespread Implementation of Mature DevOps Practices

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: Event-Driven Architecture Becomes Viable for Building New Apps by 2024 as 10% of Organizations Will Use It for Most of Their Development Needs and 70% Will Use It for a Minority of Their Development Needs

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2023, 25% of New Employee-Facing Application Development Will Be Displaced by Codeless Development of Discrete Tasks That Are Assigned Just in Time to Workers Paired with Robot Assistants

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2025, Acceleration of Retirements of Experienced Operations Staff with Fewer Trained Replacements Will Drive Automation, and Penetration of Automated Operations Will Grow to 70% of Large Enterprises

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

Pervasive Disruption Continues — Volatility, Opportunity, and Resilience

The Future Enterprise — Thriving in a Jungle of Agile Innovation

Embracing Digital First — New Strategies for Complexity and Ubiquity

Intelligence on Demand — Navigating the Torrent of Data

Digital Ecosystem — Thriving in a Multiplatform World

Workforce Outlook — Redefining Teams, Reinventing Models, and Rethinking Leadership

Engagement Reimagined — From Responsive to Anticipatory

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