Asian banks are at a strategic crossroads.  Business complexity is rising as new asset classes, digital channels and ecosystem partnerships expand. Meanwhile, banks face softening interest rates, credit pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty. In response, banks are increasing investment in technology, especially AI, to drive efficiency, resilience, and revenue growth.   Recent IDC surveys show a clear rise in AI-related spending across the region.

The critical question is no longer whether banks are investing in AI, but how they can monetize that investment to generate measurable ROI and what role agentic AI plays in that equation.

Agentic AI offers banks a path from AI experimentation to measurable returns. By deploying autonomous AI agents across complex, multi-stage banking processes such as credit decisioning, risk management, and compliance, banks can accelerate decisions, improve consistency, and scale automation while maintaining governance. The greatest ROI comes from disciplined use case selection, AI-ready data and infrastructure, and strong trust and governance frameworks.

What Is Agentic AI in Banking?

Agentic AI in banking refers to AI systems composed of multiple autonomous agents that can independently analyze information, make decisions, and execute actions across workflows within defined guardrails and human oversight.

Unlike traditional AI models or copilots that provide recommendations, agentic AI systems can orchestrate end-to-end processes. This makes them well suited to banking operations, which involve multiple handoffs, probabilistic decision-making, regulatory constraints, and risk thresholds.

Why Banking Processes Are Strong Candidates for Agentic AI

Banking processes are often complex, involving multiple decision stages, approvals, and risk checks.   Many already rely on probabilistic model-driven decision-making engines, making them well-suited for agentic architectures.  

Example: Agentic AI in Credit Approval

Consider a credit approval process:

  • One agent specializes in credit checks against defined risk acceptance criteria.
  • Another agent estimates the maximum unsecured exposure the bank can underwrite.
  • A higher-level supervisory agent evaluates outputs and acts as the approver.

Together, these agents can accelerate credit decisions, improve consistency, and maintain governance and control.

Key Challenges Banks Must Address to Generate ROI

While the opportunity is significant, deploying agentic AI at scale poses several challenges banks must address.

Is the Bank AI-Ready?

Banks must realistically assess their data architecture and infrastructure readiness. Data patching and manual corrections may work during proofs of concept, but are unlikely to succeed in production. Similarly, pilot deployments may run on spare capacity, while scaled agentic AI systems require dedicated, resilient, and secure infrastructure.

Selecting the Right Use Cases

Use case discipline is critical. Many banks run multiple exploratory or hobby AI projects driven by local enthusiasm rather than measurable business value. Even when proofs of concept show limited ROI, some initiatives still progress.

Prioritization must be anchored in clear business outcomes, such as:

  • Revenue growth
  • Operational efficiency
  • Risk reduction and compliance effectiveness

Establishing Trust and Governance

The AI trust deficit remains a major barrier, especially given the persistence of hallucinations and model errors. Building trust requires governance frameworks, transparency, human-in-the-loop controls, and continuous monitoring.

Turning Agentic AI Investment into an AI Dividend

While these challenges are not insurmountable, overcoming them is essential to generating an AI dividend. IDC research and client engagements include multiple case studies that validate that agentic AI represents a significant opportunity for the banking sector.

According to the IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Banking and Payments 2026 Predictions — Asia/Pacific (Excluding Japan) Implications report, by 2027 in APeJ, the share of AI investments directed toward innovation will rise from 25% to 40%, with increased spending on new products and services.

Banks that act now—focusing on high-impact use cases, readiness, and governance—will be better positioned to translate the potential of agentic AI into measurable business outcomes.

What’s Next

IDC works with banks across Asia/Pacific to assess AI readiness, prioritize agentic AI use cases, and design governance models that support scalable ROI.

Register now for the live webinar on 24 February 2025 at 1:30 pm SGT to join IDC in charting the agentic future with confidence.

Ashish Kakar - Research Director - IDC

Dr. Ashish Kakar is research director for IDC Financial Insights in Asia/Pacific. Based in Singapore, he is the lead Financial Insights analyst responsible for all aspects of banking and insurance research. Dr. Ashish's own interest is in fraud and risk, resilience, customer centricity, AI/ML, retail banking, insurance, alternative investment management, cloud and infrastructure, and credit risk management. Prior to joining IDC, Dr. Ashish had over 16 years' experience in Citibank, five years' experience with insurance companies, and has run his own asset management start-up for two years. In his last role in Citibank, Dr. Ashish managed processes across banking technology, servicing operations, and product. He was a regional senior with oversight of the Asia and Europe operations.

国内ITインフラ市場(2025年の振り返り)

AIインフラ
2025年もAIインフラ投資が主役となりました。2024年に引き続きハイパースケーラーやサービスプロバイダーによる投資が中心ですが、研究機関や一般企業によるAIインフラ投資も徐々に拡大しています。

AIインフラは国内外の動向が一般ニュースに取り上げられるほど注目度が高く、2025年は講演でもAIインフラ関連のテーマが多くなりました。エージェンティックAIなどAI活用が進むにつれてAIインフラ投資への関心が高まってきますので、2026年も引き続き国内ITインフラ市場の注目テーマになるとみています。

仮想化&HCI
2024年から市場が流動的になっていますが、利用企業ごとに方向性が定まりつつあります。仮想化環境の移行を決めた企業では検証や移行作業が本格化してきました。2026年はこうした動きがさらに顕著になりそうです。

マネージドサービス
2025年はマネージドサービスやITインフラ運用の調査に注力しました。複数のレポートを発行しましたが、特にマネージドクラウドサービス領域でベンダー評価レポートを発行できたことは大きな取り組みでした。

クラウド移行は、ユーザー企業・ベンダー双方にとって関係性を見直す機会になっています。
調査にご協力いただいた皆様にはこの場を借りて御礼申し上げます。

FutureScape(今後5年間の予測)

IDCでは毎年、各調査領域でFutureScape(今後5年間の10項目の予測)を発行しています。デジタルインフラ戦略では、AIインフラ関連と、ITインフラへのエージェンティックAI適用に関する項目が中心です。

AIの影響は、コンピュート、データセンター、データロジスティクス、ネットワーク、コンテナ化、エッジ、プライベートデジタルインフラへの再投資など幅広い領域で強まります。

2026年に向けて

デジタルインフラ戦略の調査を主導して3年が経ちました。複数の領域を担当するアナリストと連携しながら調査を拡充してきましたが、2025年はさらに幅が広がった年でした。

2026年は新たな挑戦が始まる1年になりそうです。引き続き、AIインフラ、仮想化、インフラモダナイゼーションなどITインフラ分野の調査に取り組みます。そして、GPUクラウドなどを含む、Accelerated Compute as a Serviceの分野もMarketScapeを実施予定です。


2025年もご支援ありがとうございました。2026年もどうぞよろしくお願いいたします。

Yukihisa Hode - Research Manager, Infrastructure & Devices, Research, IDC Japan - IDC Japan

Yukihisa Hode is a research manager covering digital infrastructure strategies as well as AI infrastructure, IT infrastructure services, IT operations, hybrid/multicloud and hyperconverged infrastructure (HCI). He leads the research program on digital infrastructure strategies, providing insight and advice on the digital infrastructure through research reports, marketing content, and presentations to support IT and digital decision-making.