EMEA enterprises have stopped debating whether AI matters. The harder question – can they run it at scale, on budget, with trust intact – is where the next 12 months will be decided.

Ambition is no longer the constraint

Ask a CEO in EMEA whether AI will reshape their business model and you get near-unanimity: 99% of EMEA CEOs told us AI gives them a chance to reinvent how their organization makes money over the next three to five years. AI strategy now sits alongside security as one of the two topics boards want to hear about beyond the numbers.

So the interesting story isn’t appetite. It’s what happens after the mandate lands. Agents are already in production across cybersecurity, IT, HR, and customer service – not in a lab, in the business. And 95% of EMEA enterprises say they’re running agents in production today – which tells you about reach, not readiness.

Which raises the question every CIO and CFO in the region is now asking each other: what does this actually cost, and can we control it?

The execution gap is the real story

Our maturity benchmarking tells a blunter story than the boardroom optimism suggests. Roughly two-thirds of EMEA organizations are still in the early stages of AI maturity. EMEA matches the rest of the world on ambition – but not on maturity. The gap isn’t interest. It’s capability.

And it shows up in money. Enterprises are running over budget on agent spend, then increasing it anyway because standing still costs more. The pressure is showing up in four places at once: nobody can trace AI cost back to a specific workflow, nobody has staff for AI FinOps, pricing models are opaque, and agent usage across functions is outrunning governance.

Capping spend is not the same as controlling it. That distinction is where the next wave of value – and the next wave of disappointment – will be decided.

Funded ambition plus lagging capability equals stalled deals. Deals shrink, cycles stretch, and the organizations that close the gap win the cycle.

What separates the organizations pulling ahead

The pattern among AI-fueled enterprises is remarkably consistent, and it’s less about models than most people expect. Value-driven AI rather than bolt-on features. A funded roadmap with defined outcomes rather than a portfolio of pilots. Governance built in, not retrofitted. A modular platform with shared, connected data. And a continuous learning loop that adapts as evidence arrives.

There’s one more, and it’s the one that surprises people: the human premium lasts. Trust and human judgment don’t get automated away – they get more valuable. When we asked what agents are actually judged on before scale-up, reliability came first, and accuracy a close second. Raw execution speed ranked below both.

Agentic ROI, in other words, is a discipline – not a calculation.

Where we go deeper

In our upcoming webinar, we’ll open up the full data set behind this picture: the EMEA agent adoption curve out to 2030. What agents actually cost enterprises per month today. Where the extra AI budget is being pulled from. The use cases already widely deployed by function. And the capability gaps customers most want closed.

If you’re building the business case, pricing the workflow or writing the governance framework this planning cycle, this is the evidence base to bring with you.

Navigate your next move with confidence. Join us – and bring your hardest questions.

Source: IDC Worldwide CEO Survey, March 2026; IDC Future Enterprise Resiliency & Spending Survey, Wave 4, August 2026; IDC MaturityScape Benchmark: The AI-Fueled Organization 2.0, May 2026; IDC Early Adopter Agentic AI Use Case Study, March 2026.

Lapo Fioretti

Lapo Fioretti - Senior Research Analyst, AI-Fueled Business Strategies

Lapo Fioretti is a Senior Research analyst for IDC's AI-Fueled Business Strategies team. In his role, he is the lead for Europe, Middle East and Africa AI-Fueled Business Strategies research, examining organizations' digital and AI maturity, key priorities and use…

Between 2023 and August 2025, European IT services buyers fundamentally reordered their priorities. AI capabilities jumped from sixth place to first. Digital expertise became foundational rather than leading. The shift wasn’t gradual. It signaled a market that had moved into new territory.

IDC’s survey of 700 European organisations in August 2025 captured this reordering of service provider selection criteria. When compared with the same evaluation criteria from 2023, the changes were clear. European firms were demanding AI capabilities as a core competency.

AI capabilities ranked sixth in 2023. By August 2025, they ranked first.

Three years ago, when European IT services buyers were asked what mattered most in selecting a strategic services partner, AI and generative AI capabilities ranked sixth on their priority list. By August 2025, they had moved to the top. This reflected a real shift in how European organisations had come to think about the value their partners could deliver.

Most organisations had experimented with AI tools by 2025. Many had run pilots. Few had successfully redesigned core processes to use AI at scale, which is where they needed their services partners to step in and help them navigate that gap. The implication for services providers was that AI competency could not be a future roadmap item. Buyers expected to see real AI capabilities embedded across the services portfolio, and for EMEA services providers, this had become a baseline expectation, not differentiation.

The third leading criterion in the August 2025 survey revealed something practical about buyer psychology: European organisations needed their IT services partners to act as trusted advisors on what was coming next. Firms often have limited internal bandwidth to stay informed about emerging technologies, to evaluate competing options, and to understand which trends genuinely mattered for their industry versus which were hype. They needed technology partners who could close that gap.

The buyer conversation had fundamentally shifted. They weren’t just asking “Can you build this?” They were asking “What should we build? What’s the market doing? What’s coming next, and what does it mean for our business?” Services vendors who could articulate a credible point of view on technology strategy, backed by real market insight, and more importantly, experience, had a competitive advantage.

Industry expertise and innovation rounded out the top selection criteria

The August 2025 survey showed industry expertise and a proven track record of helping clients innovate completed the top five selection criteria for European services buyers. These weren’t new requirements, but by 2025, their context had shifted. What counted as innovative five years earlier often didn’t anymore. Industry expertise that was purely historical wasn’t sufficient either.

European buyers were looking for services partners who combined deep industry knowledge with current thinking about how that domain was being reshaped by AI, regulatory change, and competitive disruption. For services vendors, the implication was clear: industry specialists needed to understand how AI was changing their sector, which business processes were good candidates for AI-led transformation, and why generic industry knowledge wasn’t a sufficient competitive base anymore.

What’s changed since then

The shift between 2023 and August 2025 was clear, but the services market doesn’t stand still. The real question is what happened in the 12 months that followed. Did European IT services buyers continue to demand more from their providers? Did AI capabilities stay at the top of the evaluation criteria, or have buyer priorities shifted further? Have services vendors made the repositioning moves that seemed necessary in late 2025? Have new evaluation criteria emerged? And critically: how have these changing priorities affected actual vendor selection decisions across EMEA?

These aren’t abstract questions. For services vendors, the answers determine whether your current positioning is ahead of the market or reacting to it. For services buyers, they determine how you should be evaluating partners right now.

On 6 October, IDC is presenting updated research that answers these questions with fresh data on how EMEA services buyer requirements have evolved. If you’re involved in selecting IT services partners, or if you’re positioning your services business to win in both today’s and tomorrow’s market, this is when you’ll get the insights you need.

This blog draws on IDC’s EMEA IT Services Survey conducted in August 2025 (n=700, Europe).

Matthew Wilkins

Matthew Wilkins - Research Director, European Services

Matthew Wilkins is a research director in IDC's Global Services Insights research team. Based in London, Matthew leads IDC's European Services research program, focusing on the trends and market dynamics impacting professional service providers in Europe, including the disruption and…

Industrial data: from visibility to business value

For more than a decade, industrial digital transformation centered on visibility. Manufacturers invested heavily in connected assets, historians, dashboards, sensors, and IIoT platforms to gain greater operational insight.

Today, visibility is no longer the primary bottleneck.

Walk any major industrial event, from Hannover Messe to Smart Manufacturing Week, and you will see it: nobody’s pitching “we’ll help you see your data” anymore. Most industrial organizations I talk to aren’t short on data. If anything, they are drowning in it. The real challenge has moved from collecting data to actually getting value out of it.

The challenge has shifted from collecting data to converting data into decisions, and decisions into measurable business outcomes. That shift is where AI and industrial operations begin to intersect in genuinely transformative ways.

The market’s biggest bet: industrial context layers

As AI matures, industrial systems are shifting from reporting what happened, to recommending what should happen next, to (increasingly) executing approved actions on their own. We are witnessing a gradual progression from automation toward autonomy.

My view, and one I continue to test in conversations across the market, is that much of the industry’s AI discussion remains overly focused on models themselves. Foundation models are becoming commoditized fast. What’s actually scarce is industrial context, the thing that lets those models do something useful.

An AI model can detect an anomaly, generate a recommendation, optimize a schedule. Fine. But without understanding asset relationships, maintenance history, engineering constraints, production targets, safety requirements, business objectives, that recommendation isn’t worth much on the shop floor. I saw this firsthand during a recent visit to Schneider Electric’s Le Vaudreuil plant in Normandy: the AI itself wasn’t the impressive part; it was the decades of engineering knowledge, process understanding, and operational context underpinning the system. Context is what turns raw data into intelligence, and intelligence into action.

Why AI context requires ongoing maintenance, not just setup

Context also needs upkeep. Let me share an instance I recently came across: a manufacturer brought in a consulting team to build an AI model that controlled fan sequencing inside a set of curing ovens, fixing a temperature gradient that had been causing product defects for years. It worked, and the consultants moved on. About three months later, the problem came back, worse than before. The model had drifted, and nobody was monitoring it closely enough to catch it.

The actual cause turned out to be almost trivial: in the summer, operators would prop open a back door to cool the plant, and the draft created a cold spot the model was never designed to account for. The people on the floor had always known to compensate for this manually, but once the AI model took over, that tacit knowledge quietly stopped being used, and nobody thought to feed it back in.

It’s a reminder that context isn’t a one-time input, it has to be actively maintained, or a model will keep confidently executing on a picture of the world that’s gone stale. Treat AI models like any quality system: audit them on a regular cadence, rerun the same inputs, and catch drift before it becomes a failure.

How industrial vendors are building AI context layers

The more conversations I have across the industrial software market, the more it feels like vendors are arriving at a similar conclusion. Whether through acquisitions, digital twin initiatives, semantic models, knowledge graphs, or industrial data fabrics, vendors are racing to build operational knowledge layers that sit beneath AI capabilities.

Schneider’s acquisition of Cognite. Siemens pursuing its vision through Intelligence Center X, which surfaced repeatedly in conversations at Realize LIVE as part of Siemens’ effort to connect industrial data, engineering knowledge, and AI into a unified operational intelligence layer. Bosch’s Manufacturing Co-Intelligence push, which Norbert Jung was framing to me in Berlin as a “third layer of intelligence” sitting above the shop floor. Autodesk buying MaintainX. Velotic forming. Different roads, same destination: everyone’s racing to build the contextualized data foundation, the semantic layer, the knowledge model, the digital twin underneath the AI.

The emerging battle is no longer simply about delivering AI capabilities. It is about owning the context layer that makes those capabilities useful.

AI assistants vs. AI agents in industrial software

One data point which is relevant here: AI assistants are already everywhere in enterprise software, IDC estimates over 60% of enterprise apps now have some assistant or advisory capability baked in, while roughly 20% are pushing further into actual agent territory, systems that can independently perceive, evaluate, and act. That difference is not small. Assistants help people do the work. Agents start doing the work themselves.

And that has real implications for how enterprise software gets built. For decades, applications were designed around humans: log in, navigate a workflow, move data from one system to another. In an agentic world, that whole model starts to break down.

Why orchestration, not automation, is the real disruption

Instead of opening five dashboards, a user might just say: “optimize tomorrow’s production schedule while minimizing energy costs and avoiding maintenance conflicts.” An orchestration layer then pulls together specialized agents across scheduling, asset management, supply chain, and energy to actually get it done. It’s roughly the vision I kept hearing sketched out on the show floor at Smart Manufacturing Week and other industry events, just from different vendors, each convinced they’d own the orchestration layer.

So no, I don’t think the disruption here is automation. Industry has automated processes for decades already. The disruption is orchestration. Agents are becoming the connective tissue between applications, processes, and outcomes.

That doesn’t mean SaaS is going away, not even close. ERP, MES, EAM, APM, historians, supply chain systems, these stay critical because they are what agents read from and act through. But the value is migrating upward, away from the application itself and toward the orchestration and context layers sitting above it.

This is basically why I don’t buy the “SaaSpocalypse” narrative that’s been making the rounds. What’s actually happening looks less like the death of software and more like software evolving from a system of record into a system of intelligence.

For industrial software vendors, that raises an uncomfortable strategic question: if everyone can plug into the same foundation models, where’s the differentiation going to come from?

My take: Domain intelligence. Process models. Engineering expertise. Decades of operational history. Digital twins. Openness and interoperability. Contextualized industrial knowledge that’s been built up over years, not scraped off the internet.

Key questions for the future of industrial AI

The last decade was about digitizing operations. The next one is likely going to be about operationalizing intelligence. The data already exists. The models are becoming available to everyone. Context is emerging as the industry’s most defensible and strategically valuable asset.

Which leaves me with a few open questions I’d genuinely love to hear other views on:

  • Will the next generation of industrial platform leaders be the ones with the best AI, or the ones with the richest operational context?
  • Does the real control point end up living inside the application, or in the orchestration layer above it?
  • As agents become the primary “users” of software, how should vendors be rethinking product design and pricing?
  • Will industrial organizations trust a single vendor’s context layer, or will neutral data foundations end up winning out?
  • And perhaps the biggest one: as we move from automation to autonomy, who actually owns the decision?

Got a question? Drop it in here.

Gunjan Bassi

Gunjan Bassi - Research Manager

Gunjan Bassi has more than 14 years' experience working in the logistics and transportation sector. Before joining IDC, she worked with Transport Intelligence (Ti), a transportation and logistics research firm based in Bath, England, where she was responsible for vertical…