Key Takeaways for IT Vendors

Globally, the risk of a consumer-led recession is increasing as central banks increase interest rates to control inflation. Most economists are coalescing around an expected slowdown in 2023, and a lot will depend upon monitory policy and wildcard events. IDC’s recent poll of 100 CIOs globally indicated that 79% expected a recession[VG1]  in their countries or in important buyer countries next year. The majority of them expect it to be a mild or moderate one and not a deep recession.

Inflationary pressure, geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, increasing IT skills shortages, and weakening local currencies all contribute to what IDC refers to as “Storms of Disruption”. Inflation is a significant pain point for Asia Pacific excluding Japan and China (APeJC) economies. Central banks of all major regional economies, namely South Korea, Philippines, Malaysia, Thailand, India, New Zealand, and Australia have increased interest rates in July and August 2022.

Emerging markets face a more pessimistic economic outlook with currency devaluations against the US dollar, making imports costlier. This is a double whammy for countries that import oil and food as weakened local currency means higher imported inflation.

Many APeJC economies were hit due to lockdowns in China, their largest trading partner. Hope is that the Chinese government stimulus will help enterprises, and thus the economy, recover. IDC assumes that the Chinese economy will stabilize and return to growth in 2023. However, the pace of recovery is doubtful with the global economy cooling.

Japan is an interesting case as it is doing the opposite of what the world is doing. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is not increasing interest rates like other developed economies, thus resulting in a weak Yen, which will impact corporate earnings. Inflation has increased, primarily driven by energy and fresh food prices. The underlying inflation pressures are much softer than in other developed economies, and BoJ predicts inflation to moderate in 2023. There is also an increased risk of rising covid cases.

IDC’s latest survey, Future Enterprise Resiliency & Spending 22 Survey, Wave 3, reveals that IT leaders in APeJC are concerned about inflation (45%) and timely access to products/services due to supply chain disruptions (47%). Chinese IT leaders are increasingly worried about staffing and labor shortages (56%), whereas IT cost increases stemming from inflation (48%) and COVID-related restrictions (46%) are leading concerns of Japanese IT leaders.

IT leaders have started reporting increasing difficulties in filling up vacancies both in line of business and in IT. They have either upskilled existing IT staff or engaged a third-party service provider to resource for the most important technology initiatives. Most IT leaders in the region report extreme difficulty in filling up positions for data management professionals, data scientists/data analysts, followed by software developers and networking engineers.

While the US is “technically” in a recession with a second straight quarterly contraction, Europe is forecasting it to happen in the next six months. APeJC GDP continues to grow in 2022 but at lower levels than predicted earlier. Interestingly, APeJC IT spending growth is holding up well in 2022, with a dip expected in 2023.

Consumer IT spending (related to consumer purchase of mobiles, tablets, PC’s, wearables, and peripherals) slowed in the first half of 2022 because many device purchases have already happened in the last two years to enable WFH or online classes. We expect this to decline further this year and next year.

Enterprise IT spending has been stable  as businesses continue to protect IT budgets in the short term. Operational budgets account for a larger share of overall spending (cloud, subscription, as a service) and are difficult to pull back at short notice. Cloud spends are still expected to grow strong due to a marked shift from capex to opex operating model.

Expectations are that some capital spending and investments in new projects are vulnerable because the focus will shift to keeping the lights on rather than putting money on new initiatives. Again, the willingness and ability to increase IT budgets in line with rising prices, either due to inflation or currency devaluations, is more uncertain today.

IDC’s survey, Future Enterprise Resiliency & Spending 22 Survey Wave 6, indicates that there are no signs of significant cuts to IT budgets or strategies yet. Instead, businesses are exploring ways of maintaining projects within constraints of existing budgets, which already include planned increases driven by digital transformation and cloud deployments. Enterprises in China have seen their budgets drop due to a decline in economic activity.

However, in this story, regional enterprises are still focused on bringing operational efficiency and business resiliency. Investments in digital infrastructure resiliency programs appear at the top of their priority list. This will involve investments in computing, storage, and network infrastructure and automation across data centers, public clouds, and edge locations to create more responsive, scalable, and resilient platforms for enabling digital business.

To sum up, below are the key takeaways:

  1. Consumer technology spending hit, expect further declines, followed by reductions in early-stage speculative enterprise projects and capital spending.
  2. Cloud spends to stay strong as businesses focus on achieving increased business agility and cost optimization post-COVID. However, some spending still correlates with employment so job cuts may negatively impact cloud spending. Employment statistics of enterprises will be an early indicator of any future impact on cloud spending.
  3. Expect greater scrutiny on technology investments, especially as technology begins to represent a growing portion of spend. Technology investment will increasingly be to support sustainable business growth, and vendor messaging must give it due importance. In short, technology spending will be more strategic.
  4. Local currency devaluations will negatively impact enterprises’ IT budgets, with imports becoming costly.
  5. Increasing IT skill availability gap, enterprises turn to third-party service providers to bridge the talent gap.

Understanding the impact of a global recession is essential for market intelligence, strategy, and marketing teams to understand evolving market size, competitor strengths and weaknesses, and optimal pricing approaches. The Black Book Live program serves as the essential tool for these tech supplier teams seeking to map demand for global, regional, and local markets around the world. The Live edition of the Black Book is published monthly and reflects the current optimistic scenario for tech markets. An alternate global IT market view reflecting the latest economic assumptions and indicators across 89 countries, alongside country-level analysis of impact on ICT pricing and demand is also available on request.

For more insights, watch our on-demand webinar: State of the Market – IT Spending & Recession Impact by Industry, click here.


FUTURE ENTERPRISE RESILENCY & SPENDING 22 Survey wave 3: Q5. Overall Impact – Which of the following do you expect will have the greatest impact on your IT spending plans for the rest of 2022?

FUTURE ENTERPRISE RESILENCY & SPENDING 22 Survey wave 6: Q6C. Compared to your organization’s originally budgeted IT spending levels for 2022, how will current disruptions affect your organization’s most likely final IT spending levels for all of 2022?

Vinay Gupta - Senior Research Director - IDC

Vinay Gupta is a Research Director for IT Spending Guides in Customer Insights & Analysis group. Based out of Bangalore, he is responsible for supporting the growth of spending guides across Asia Pacific excluding Japan and China, leading the spending guide team, working with country teams, sales teams and tracker teams. Vinay has close to fifteen years of industry experience where he has helped enterprises and IT vendors with actionable insights through his research focused on analyzing the ICT market in areas of market sizing, market trends and forecasts, and IT vendor rankings. In his role at Ovum, his focus was on building tools that IT vendors use to target accounts, identify customers and prospects, understand accounts in granular detail, and focus sales budgets on the correct prospect thereby improving bottom-line of vendors. He started his career working with Mahindra & Mahindra moving on to 3dPLM Software Solutions (a JV of Dassault Systemes) where his focus area was vehicle integration and later product life-cycle management. During his tenure there he also interacted with end users to identify their needs and help design better processes which would adapt changing customer needs.

As more healthcare providers, systems and supporting organizations embrace the ever-evolving healthcare landscape and recognize that value-based care is the cornerstone for higher quality and lower cost care, the discrepancies in infrastructure and technology needs versus current state are becoming more apparent.

With a multitude of stakeholders, lack of interoperability and data transparency, increases in administrative burden on providers and the challenge of delivering individualized care to all patients, knowing where to start is often the most daunting challenge. Add to this, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) regulations including price transparency and interoperability standards, which are the foundations and minimal necessary requirements for a value-based care infrastructure, and the evolving landscape becomes disjointed and complex.

As you peel back the layers of the variables influencing success in a value-based care model, all roads eventually lead back to data. IDC report Healthcare Industry Journey Toward the Intelligent Enterprise (#US48354021, Nov 2021) shared that 70% of healthcare organizations aspire to be a data driven organization yet only 18% of providers are using data to drive decisions.

Making Data Meaningful: Quality over Quantity

Being data-driven is not a new concept in healthcare. However, never have healthcare organizations had so many success metrics (i.e., accurate patient risk scoring, emergency room and inpatient admission reductions, enhanced chronic disease management) tied directly to the ability to access comprehensive, dependable, and actionable data.

What does this opportunity mean? It means that to accomplish the goal of high-quality, low-cost care delivery, we must be honest about limitations in the current environment and be realistic when exploring solutions.

The creation of meaningful data is the tipping point for many. However, to fully leverage and optimize this strategy, analyzing the end-to-end process is also vital. Recognizing data driven opportunities is the first step. Understanding how to engage stakeholders, operationalize sustainable change and create a new normal will eventually separate the good from the great.

As we noted in Data Disparity: The First of Many Challenges in the Value-Based Healthcare Environment” (IDC #US49572922, publishing forthcoming), success in a value-based care model is heavily influenced by the ability of the organization to support ongoing, comprehensive data analytics that drive performance vulnerabilities and areas of opportunity. Without sufficient resources and tools, organizational financial health and quality of healthcare delivery are at risk.

To face this challenge, organizations must be aware of current internal limitations, drivers of past successes and failures and the potential gains associated with investment in a technology solution and infrastructure design that facilities the evolution of disparate data into actionable, meaningful insights.

Advice for the Technology Buyer

  • Create data confidence throughout the ingestion, curation and cleansing processes needed for a longitudinal, 360 patient view
  • Understand retrospective versus real-time data use cases that are imperative to success strategies
  • Ensure scalability to match needs
  • Prioritize end user(s) experience
  • Assess use/availability of benchmarks and KPIs
  • Ensure expertise for all stages of technology adoption/use

Organizations ready to strategically plan and execute value-based care initiatives will find themselves at the center of this new healthcare ecosystem and ready to address the evolving needs and wants of healthcare providers and consumers.  Don’t let data disparity challenges stand in the way of creating a data driven and successful pathway for patients, providers and healthcare organizations.

Infographic-Health-Insight

Jennifer Eaton - Research Director - IDC

Jennifer Eaton RN, MSN, CCDS, CRCR Research Director, Value Based Healthcare IT Transformation Strategies. Jennifer Eaton is Research Director for Value Based Healthcare IT Transformation Strategies. Her core research coverage includes the use of cognitive/AI technologies to advance digital transformation in healthcare, particularly relate to value-based health, the intelligent healthcare enterprise and industry ecosystem. Previously, Jennifer served as Executive Director of Advisory services for a physician lead company with an emphasis on value-based healthcare initiatives such as provider/patient collaboration, optimization of technology, infrastructure to support scale, risk mitigation and reimbursement accuracy. Prior to this role, she had the pleasure of starting her professional career 20 years ago at Ochsner Health System in LA as an RN in the PICU and later as a member of the HIM/CDI leadership team.

As an emerging tech vendor, you know that it can be a struggle to use content marketing to create brand awareness. Researching and creating a compelling piece that will get the attention of your target audience takes a lot of research and time. Fortunately, there is an easy way to satisfy the need for content your audience craves: third-party content.

Third-party content is a form of content creation that exists in working with a credible, external source that will prepare a piece of thought-leadership for you. Let’s have a look at the advantages of third-party content and how to best use it.

Build Trust with Third-Party Content

Working with a well-known, established partner will not only give you ready-made content, but will also help build trust in your brand’s expertise, expand your reach, and raise awareness in a noisy market.

Did you know that on average, tech buyers download six pieces of content throughout the tech purchase process? With an increasing number of content and channels to choose from, they naturally prefer content from a trusted, well-known source. In fact, as many as 95% of tech buyers recommend vendors add more insight from industry thought leaders and analysts to improve their content.

Working with an established source like an analyst can create a piece of thought-leadership that elevates your brand’s position in the market and builds a foundation of trust and credibility.

Prepare, Prepare, Prepare

Third-party partners will work with you to create content that is closely aligned with your marketing objectives. To get the best out of your new content piece, you must do your homework before briefing your partner.

  • Which topic and keywords resonate most with your audience?
  • Which style of research will best serve you?
  • What’s the most compelling visualization that should accompany the piece of content?

Remember that you should keep in touch with your third-party representative during the creation of the piece. If your external partner has dedicated Success Managers, they will ensure you will have guidance from preparation to implementation.

Share

You might be tempted to take your new piece of content and publish it on all your marketing channels. This could lead to a spike in interest for your company. But it could also be the wrong channel for the message you are sending or even the wrong time (holiday season, anyone?).

We recommend you keep these tips in mind when marketing your third-party piece:

Strategy: don’t use your content at the same time on every channel. You could start by publishing it on your website and social media, use it in a blog post in the following months, then refer to it in a digital discussion on LinkedIn. The possibilities are endless. Our new eBook includes a handy checklist for your next marketing campaign.

Be Insightful

When you share your third-party content, you don’t want to simply post the content and add a generic message like “Good read!”.

Instead, you want to personalize your message to your audience and tell them why this is compelling information for them, and what the net gains from reading are. We are all busy and suffering from content overload and adding this bit of information makes you stand out from the crowd.

Avoid Marketing Pitfalls

With a little bit of savvy marketing, a great piece of third-party content will create awareness and credibility. But failing to establish some details before the launch of your campaign will quickly lead to a loss of ROI.

Make sure you

  • Are clear about your KPIs. What does success look like for this campaign? And for your company?
  • Be clear about your digital strategy and develop a concise marketing plan.
  • Track your success and refine constantly.

If you find these insights helpful and are looking for a partner, we might have the solution. IDC’s Thought Leadership Analyst Brief provides leading-edge third-party quality content that elevates your brand image and associates your company with emerging technology trends, driving your global media coverage and market awareness, and re-defining your client dialogue.

This year, the UNHCR announced that the number of people forcibly displaced exceeded 100 million globally for the first time on record. This means 1 in every 78 people has been forced to flee their homes. The number of people displaced, internally or externally, from weather-related disasters, famine and unemployment is also rising. The Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) estimates that there could be 1.2 billion climate refugees by 2050.

A proactive approach is needed to help manage this perennial challenge and to improve the lives of refugees. Or, in the words of the Mayor of Warsaw, Poland, “it is time we phased out improvisation and instead created a strategy for coping and appropriate systems for helping refugees.”

To create more effective and empathetic systems for refugees, governments and their partners should consider taking a life-event approach. The life-event approach to digital service delivery includes bringing a range of services together to coincide with a particular event, such as a birth, marriage, and death. Rather than people having to reach out to a variety of agencies to access different services, governments can integrate information and resources to provide these services in a more seamless way.

More mature approaches also include service coordination and data exchange across agencies as well as with private sector and civil society organisations.

Some governments, including the US Federal Government, have started to take a life event approach to disaster response, from floods to wildfires. These sudden and unplanned life events require citizens and residents to access services from several agencies and require a more empathetic and personalised approach.

The same can be applied to the arrival of a refugee. When refugees arrive in a new country, they generally need to register for residency and digital identity, whether through the government or an NGO, and need immediate access to food, cash programs, and shelter. These short-term needs then morph into longer terms needs, including accessing healthcare services, education, and the labour market.

Taking a life event approach and bundling these services together can help to make often bureaucratic systems and services easier to navigate. This is even more important for vulnerable populations in a time of need and uncertainty. It can also improve efficiency, save time, and reduce costs for government agencies.

For example, in New Zealand, the government created SmartStart, a cross-agency online service to help parents navigate government services around the birth of a child. In its first year, the service resulted in 6,000 fewer visits to the Ministry of Social Development and has been well received by parents, midwives, and NGOs.

However, this should not be seen as a replacement for face-face support when needed. Some groups of refugees, such as unaccompanied minors or people with cognitive or physical disabilities, may require additional specialised and hands-on support from governments and NGOs

Source: IDC 2022

The Government of Portugal is leading the way in providing joined-up services for refugees. The Borders and Immigration Service has set up the Temporary Protection Regime for Ukrainian refugees. When Ukrainian refugees register through the online portal or in person, they receive identity numbers from key agencies including a tax identification number, social security identification number, and a national health service user number so that they can access key services.

Providing integrated services organised around planned or sudden lifetime events comes with its own challenges. It requires governments to set up the right governance mechanisms to collaborate across departments, share data in a secure and trusted way, and share budgets to enable integrated service delivery.

This is no small feat and requires a strategic approach and strong leadership, but there are examples of governments successfully overcoming these barriers.
National and local governments and international institutions looking to improve the lives and livelihoods of refugees should embrace this approach.

Leveraging technology for humanitarian purposes — HumTech — will require the right political motivation and leadership to turn refugee management from an ad hoc response to a crisis to a more systematic response to a perennial challenge.

For more information about technology and it’s impact on refugees:

To explore more of our coverage, please visit our Government Insights page.

Get in touch:

To learn more about Blockchain, Cryptocurrencies, NFTs and Web 3, how they are intertwined, and strategies to utilize these technologies for opportunities, read IDC’s new eBook, Blockchain, Crypto, NFTs, and Web3.

Web3 is no longer a hypothetical evolution of the current Web2.0, it is already taking shape and becoming reality as you read this. IDC defines Web3 as a collection of open technologies and protocols, including Blockchain (as Crypto and NFTs), that support the natively trusted use of decentralized data, knowledge, and value. In other words: Web3 will be built on a foundation of Crypto and NFTs, to equitably exchange value—both as currency and as content—between the creators of that content, the platforms which will host that content, and the end consumers of that content.

But what do we mean by “content”? Today, “content” is more than just someone’s cat pictures and cooking videos. In IDC’s definition, content is any and all data being shared from one entity to another: this can include cat pictures (which as we all know is the bedrock of social media), third party apps (such as games, i.e., what the original FarmVille had been), videos, music, stories, update posts, and similar. But it is also much, much more: data which is captured by content platforms every time a user watches a video, or “likes” a post, or spends a few seconds longer lingering on particular images, can be classified as content, as that user’s input, however minute, directly impacts the algorithms which determine what content will be shown more (or less) to other users with similar profiles.

All of this data has value from a business intelligence perspective, and therefore also monetary value, as this data, in Web3, will be more easily captured, stored, sorted, and repackaged as a marketable product, by utilizing NFTs (Non-Fungible Token). A single user’s entire Web history can be captured and stored, securely, on an NFT—a sort of long-term file of every uploaded picture, video, message, comment, click, like, view, and more—while on various pages and content platforms on the Web. In the ideal, utopian vision of Web3, that individual user would have total command and control over that data, stored in their NFT.

What is revolutionary is that through the use of NFTs, all this data and content can now be accurately and equitably tracked. The user actually creating content—whether it is a single person “liking” an image or a third-party app developer creating a game—can track and own their content, on an NFT. Now, if that content can be tracked, it means it can be purposefully exchanged for value. That value can range from a monetary renumeration (i.e., pay $4.99 a month to play the game, or pay $0.0001 for every “click” on social media platform) or access to benefits or perks (i.e., receive permission to access some of the user data from users playing your game, or gain access to VIP social media groups if you spend enough time engaging with posts, etc.). The critical factor is that by tracking all this in a secure, immutable, traceable, and unique record—an NFT—businesses can now offer to exchange value for that content and data.

THE DATA MARKETPLACE

Now that a business, such as a social media/content platform, can offer users monetary compensation (or special rights or access) in exchange for the right to use some, or all, of their content and data, it becomes much more appealing for users to willingly share their content and data. With an increase in user data, willingly shared by users, social media/content platforms can now repackage that data, and sell it on data marketplaces.

For example: A large fashion designer (i.e., LVMH) is planning their Spring catalogue for next year. They would like to know what are the hot trends that their target demographic are talking about or looking at this summer. So they go to a data marketplace, and place an open offer to buy a data set outlining what images or videos their target demographic have viewed. Let us say: people between the age of 22-30, living in major metropolitan areas (10+ million urban population), in the countries in which this fashion designer has stores, who viewed videos or pictures of clothing, during the summer months. The data, being packaged and sold (with permission of the users creating that data) in the data marketplace by either a social media platform (i.e., Facebook/Meta), a video content platform (i.e., TikTok or YouTube), or picture content platform (i.e., Instagram), can be priced fairly (with bid / ask pricing) and purchased by the fashion designer. Now, the data may bear out that videos and images featuring purple polka-dots get the most likes and views, and is trending higher and higher through the summer—leading them design a new product line for their spring catalogue with the soon to be hottest fashion of purple polka-dots.

CHANGING THE WAY BUSINESSES DO BUSINESS

In the above scenario, every participant is equitably compensated for their contribution, however small it may be (i.e., a “click” or “like” on an image), through the entire value creation process. The user has retained the right to sell their data/content, the platform company is being compensated for providing the content hosting platform and gathering and packaging the data, and the buyer of the data set (here, the fashion designer) is gaining value from having the most accurate and insightful data available to plan their business strategy. The foundational technology that allows for this accurate, secure, immutable, traceable, and unique record—and the ability to assign equitable value and compensation—is the NFT, and the underlying technology of the blockchain. Additionally, the rise in use of NFTs will coincide with the rise in use of cryptocurrencies. Forgive the pun, but NFTs are essentially the “other side of the coin” of cryptocurrencies. Cryptocurrencies permit the decentralized and secure exchange of digital value, whereas NFTs permit the decentralized and secure exchange of digital content.

Expect to see a rapid rise in the use of NFTs (beyond the hype of NFT art, which is an interesting proof of concept use case for NFTs), as businesses realize that any digital information—from cat pictures to music to pharmaceutical drug formulations—can be securely recorded and exchanged on an NFT. As NFTs rise, thus will cryptocurrencies, as the logical (and easier to use) exchange of digital value for digital content. To learn more about Blockchain, Cryptocurrencies, NFTs and Web 3, how they are intertwined, and strategies to utilize these technologies for opportunities, read IDC’s new eBook, Blockchain, Crypto, NFTs, and Web3. Click the button below to download the free eBook.

Let me present a modern problem: The bank sends me a new debit card, after the previous number had been exposed in a data breach. It’s great that they are protecting me and my money. It’s not so great that I now must update all of my subscriptions with my new card number. And I have a lot of subscriptions, especially for media. Prime. Fubo. Netflix. HBO Max. Showtime. Crunchy Roll. Peacock. And on and on and on.

So during a recent July evening, we sit down to enjoy a true crime documentary about a murder in New England (my favorite). It’s on one of my streaming providers, sold via a bundle with other services. I update the billing info on the parent service, go back to documentary and…no deal. I get a message to update my billing with the parent company of the bundle, which I had done. No problem, try again. The parent company showed I had indeed updated my billing info. Back to the bundled service for the murder show…and., once again, nothing. After about five tries, a light bulb went off.

These services were still using a high latency — probably batch — process to connect their systems and distribute data for billing and subscriptions. That means they were not syncing in real time. If real time is like sending a text message, their process was like sending a letter. 

Now as far as stakes go, this one was relatively low. The streaming service missed out on ad revenue, while annoying me. But what if the stakes were higher? What if I was hoping to catch a live, once-in-a-lifetime event? What if this was a service that kept my lights on? Or helped me get somewhere after my car broke down? What if I real-time was imperative to my customer satisfaction?

And now that I am saying this out loud (or typing it), I wonder if any customer interaction can truly be considered low stakes.  Losing out on ad revenue is not nothing. When it comes to media, I subscribe to way too many streaming services as it is. Did this negative, high latency interaction make me miss my old cable company? And in light of inflation concerns and tightening my household budget, a bad customer experience might have me thinking, “I can always find a true crime documentary about a New England murder on another streaming service. They are prolific.

Today, customers expect a real time experience. Not to sound like Veruca Salt, but we know what we want and want it now. High latency isn’t just a week or a day; it can also be minutes. Delays in data can put the business at risk.  

Business happens in real time. People buy things in real time, banking happens in real time, goods are shipped in real time, and bad players try to access your data in real time.

Enterprise intelligence means making decisions based on data, so don’t we want to use the freshest data available? Companies with higher levels of enterprise intelligence report greater revenue growth and customer acquisition. In fact, the top three goals realized by the intelligent enterprise are revenue growth, increase in innovation, and improvement in customer experience.

Considering these uncertain economic times, IDC recommends that companies invest in digital-first technologies to accelerate transformation and meet the headwinds of inflation. That includes investment in services that augment agility and enhance customer engagement. Real-time experiences can do that. In a recent survey, IT leaders told IDC that for 2022, investing in technology to achieve real time decision making is a top priority.

Change data capture (CDC) is a great example of implementing dynamic data movement for real-time results. CDC is very popular within the enterprise for populating their streaming data pipelines, and there are new offerings in this space overt the past 12 months to accommodate a growing list of data sources and sinks.

CDC is just one entry point into real time streaming data. And not every use case requires zero-latency solutions. But we all know that improving the customer experience (CX) directly impacts the organization’s bottom line. With phones in our hands and digital assistants in our kitchens, we want relevant experiences that satisfy our needs with the least effort.

Streaming data use cases exist across all industries, from manufacturing to financial, from retail to healthcare. Our research shows that strategic use of streaming data across departments aligns with higher levels of digital maturity, i.e. the more mature organizations are implementing a streaming strategy across departments and throughout the enterprise, while the more immature organizations are still siloed in their use case implementations. When business runs in real-time, scheduled batch data is often out-of-date, and use cases we see around security/threat management, customer activity tracking, and real-time financial data plays that theory out.

I always say, “Let the use case lead.” It should direct how you think about real-time architecture, which ideally, is an expansion of your existing framework to avoid creating data silos. The top questions to ask are: “What are the business benefits we are hoping to achieve?” and “What insights do we need to achieve those goals?” But it’s also important to consider how a use case can drive insights at scale by asking: “Who needs those insights and where do they need them?” and “What other systems might we need to integrate with for context or to operationalize insights?” Asking these questions will help your company figure out the technology requirements, as well as where you need to be able to deploy those capabilities and what applications and systems you need to connect.

Amy Machado - Sr. Research Manager - IDC

Amy Machado is a Senior Research Manager for IDC's Content and Knowledge Discovery Strategies program. She examines the evolution of the content and unstructured data supply chain and its impact on mission-critical operations. Driven by demand for using data to make business decisions and building AI-ready data sets, modern technologies are creating new opportunities for automation and insights for what has traditionally been locked in undefined unstructured data. Ms. Machado's coverage includes enterprise content management, content sharing and collaboration, knowledge discovery, knowledge management, intelligent document processing, and customer communications management software. She uses primary research to size, forecast, and segment these application markets. Ms. Machado has over 20 years of analyst experience and has been at IDC since 2011. In addition to content and knowledge services, she has also focused on real-time streaming data and time series analytics, production printing, and industrial printing markets.

In this session of the Digital Leaders Community, we had experts from Nutanix and IDC Metri on hand to share their experience with the community.

The interactive session started as usual with a roundup of the reasons attendees from the community had joined. There was a variety of interests among the digital leaders from around Europe including one company that has made the decision to move to the cloud, some that have plans based on the maturity of different workloads, and others that wanted to hear about peers that have already moved to cloud.

One public organisation told how it had become completely cloud based. Did it save money? The attendee commented on the need to make sure the CFO and finance team understood that opex would increase. There is a need to make sure finance sees the savings as well. They talked about the datacentre no longer being needed, so that space can be used as offices. It was concluded that FinOps is tricky, but especially important as it is hard to forecast costs as more people move to cloud.

Nutanix has many customers moving to cloud, and sees how cloud costs have evolved for clients. The expert from Nutanix, Steen Dalgas, in particular has been helping companies figure out the TCO of cloud and other environments. Cloud is great for companies in innovation/growth mode — to rent capacity when you don’t know what parts will work. It is better to keep mature areas on-premises, as it is much more cost effective.

You can compare with on-premises with infrastructure as a service (IaaS). Platform as a service (PaaS) is quite different, and is hard to compare with on-premises. It is also extremely hard to repatriate from PaaS. The majority of cloud use now is IaaS, but PaaS will start to become more dominant.

A word of caution — the attendees mostly agreed that “By moving to the cloud, you don’t get rid of problems, you just move them somewhere else.

There followed a discussion on cloud-related skills. One attendee noted that they are outsourcing the skills they need to core suppliers. Some people feel more secure in the cloud than on-premises. However, cloud provides an opportunity for people to be lazy — sloppy code with data leaks was the example — that is a problem on-premises that in the cloud can become very expensive very quickly.

There is major demand for FinOps — managing the different environments, figuring which workloads to use in which environment. And this is a key skill along with the software skill of internal cloud governance; what users buy from the cloud on company credit cards can be significant if they don’t understand the issues in terms of variable costs and security.

The meeting discussed whether you could prohibit people from using the cloud, or do you educate people about costs and let them get on with their work? You need to monitor cloud bills very closely, to educate people, and you need people with knowledge of cloud biz models. There is always a need to ask many questions about the cloud invoice and figure out what’s happening internally.

One suggestion was that line of business people need to be aware that what they do costs money. Ideally, make sure costs come straight back to users. This can be done by tagging cloud resources with an app name, environment name, or resource tag so you know who is using what and how much it costs. One comment was that unfortunately sometimes even IT doesn’t know how the cloud business model works. ­­

 

Two years ago, one global bank said it would move out of datacentres. Now it says it will keep DCs in major global centres but make them a cloud-like experience. One attendee related how their company tried a shared private cloud, but consider it as on-premises. They can control a lot, but don’t need to pay for the whole thing when capacity is not used.

The IDC CIO Advisory team would like to thank everyone who came to the call for their input. It is always inspiring to hear from those making changes in their business and taking the tough calls with their management colleagues. We hope this session was valuable and provided many takeaways for you.

If you already receive invitations to our sessions, I hope to see you there. If you would like to join this community, please email Marc Dowd mdowd@idc.com.

 

IDC Digital Leadership Community: Topics 3Q22

Brainstorming Out of the Box

Thursday, August 25, 2022, 17:00 CET

Sometimes doing something unexpected can really pay off. This is true of being a digital leader, just as it is for disruptive innovation.

In this light-hearted but serious session we will look at the “hacks” and experiences that we collectively can share. We will be dealing with subjects in all areas from leadership “masterstrokes we have witnessed” to unusual policies that work:

In this session you can expect:

  • Amusing anecdotes with a deeper meaning
  • Car crash policies and how to avoid them
  • The heroes of digital leadership, and why we think they are great

Data and Analytics/Data Culture/Data Management Technology

Thursday, September 29, 2022, 17:00 CET

I for one thought it would never happen: IDC research shows that organisations are looking to move to being data-driven. I see movements among my clients to gather all the data in the organisation that is relevant and make it available.

Is the dream coming true? Are we moving to a world where data will at last come into its own and become the “new oil”?

In this session, we will discuss how to move towards a better use of data. Topics will include:

  • Developing trust in data — is that the key?
  • Governance of data
  • Managing the complexity of data initiative
  • The security and sovereignty issues around the use of data

We hope you will join us. Please feel free to suggest digital leaders who might benefit from these discussions.

https://www.idc.com/eu/digital-leadership-advisory

Marc Dowd - Principal, Client Advisory - Research and Consulting - IDC

Marc Dowd is the principal for IDC’s European client advisory practice. Dowd has over 25 years of experience working with the leaders of corporate IT across a wide range of industries. This includes 9 years as principal for EMEA advising CIOs of large international companies and government bodies for Forrester Research. Recently he has been focusing on Digital Transformation (DX) and the use of emerging technology such as AI, IoT and blockchain to develop new business models and business capabilities. His experience enables him to provide CIOs and strategic business planners within organisations who use technology, with market and customer insight, analysis, tactical advice, forecasting and technology trend intelligence to senior management teams at local, regional and worldwide levels.

Let’s start with a question.

When was the last time you picked up a phone to call a coworker?

Odds are, it was a while ago.  Instead, you reached out through Teams or Slack, email or a workflow of some kind.  You might have pushed a task to them through a service portal or used an analytics tool to give them data.  And you probably didn’t think anything of it.  Maybe you used Dall-E to create a custom meme then folded it into fluid document.

Each of these scenarios, and many more, are components of what IDC calls the “Intelligent Digital Workspace” (IDW).  Well, we actually call it an “intelligent digital workspace ecosystem”, which is a phrase intended to convey:

  • Intelligent – the environment uses AI/ML and scripted automation to adapt to the user’s requirements
  • Digital – the environment coordinates electronics and software both local to the user and remote to them to meet the user’s needs
  • Workspace – the environment is used to do work, as opposed to, say, playing games
  • Ecosystem – the environment is deliberately constructed of many components (data, electronics, software, and more) which work together in a coordinated fashion

If we ask people directly if they have deployed an “intelligent digital workspace ecosystem”, not many respond positively.  But, if instead we look at the functions of such an ecosystem, we see that over 70% of companies have enough functions to say they have already deployed it.

How did we get here?

So, how did we end up deploying an entirely new operational concept of the workspace without, well, noticing?  Did vendors trick us into it?  Was it the result of a Friday night that we just, collectively, don’t quite remember but photos ended up online?

Honestly, like any technical ecosystem, the IDW concept emerged in response to the collective efforts of tens of thousands of companies to provide employees relief from:

As we all struggled to adapt to these challenges, we also discovered that those inefficient processes and the technical challenges with the applications supporting those processes spurred further issues.  Teams became increasingly isolated within themselves.  IT support simply could not respond quickly enough and small problems lingered for hours or days.  Security systems designed for on-premise use, or to protect systems for occasional remote work, were untenably obscure and difficult to use over an extended period of time.

So, of course, we fixed it.

We deployed management tools which helped smooth out end user security (1st ranked IDW management tool) and operations.  These tools came from major vendors and small players, grew up in-house and evolved quickly to meet our expanded needs.

We deployed team collaboration and workflow tools to connect employees (1st and 2nd ranked IDW end-user argumentation). 

We deployed intelligent service management to provide support (2nd ranked workspace integration) with cross-group collaboration and the ability to report on activity across teams and the enterprise being the two most important attributes we designed for.

When it wasn’t enough, we empowered our teams to develop their own solutions and deployed those enterprise wide, accomplishing more for “agile transformation” in two years than we did in the previous two decades.

What’s Next?

Although we did well, solving those problems brought with it a host of new opportunities.  The results are often extremely complex, interweaving systems never really intended to work together.  Each enterprise has to manage the complexity on their own, and frankly they seem tired of it.  Now over 75% of organizations say that management and maintenance of this elaborate ecosystem is the responsibility of the vendors not the enterprise. 

This is, in part, because the world does not stand still.  The seemingly impossible challenges of allowing people to work in a dispersed, hybrid environment have given way in the hierarchy of problems to questions of geopolitical instability, to a collapsing return on energy investment for fossil fuels, and labor-shortages/job shuffling across a broad demographic range.  These pressures will only continue – with storms of disruption sweeping through the technology industry.  Simply put, enterprises will expect their vendors to step up and manage these ecosystems because the IT staff will have other things to do.

Meeting these “other things” will require the enterprise to clarify how it intends to use the IDW and for chosen platform vendors to respond, allowing employees for all enterprises to deliver faster, more consistently, and with greater productivity than traditionally organized and supported teams.

Now What?

So, that’s a lot.  We de facto created a new kind of digital workspace, founded in a wide range of technologies ranging from virtualization and endpoint management on one side to enterprise portals and content management on the other.  We cannot spend the time to manage the complexity of it anymore, so will turn to outside vendors and AI/ML to reduce operational load.  So, what do we do about it?

The question isn’t if you have an IDW; it’s whether you are actively coordinating it to deliver the right outcomes.

Advice for the enterprise: Enterprises need to step back and assess their existing environments.  Many will find that they have, de facto, deployed elements of an intelligent digital workspace as part of their ongoing efforts.  Those that have deployed the IDW de facto need to rapidly fill in any missing capabilities and work with their existing vendors to get out from under the operational burden the new environment creates.  Those that for whatever reason, lagged behind need to move quickly, coordinating with new or emerging vendors to deploy enough capabilities to support new ways of working.

Advice for the vendors: Vendors need to stop and assess their current offerings in terms of where they fit into the intelligent digital workspace ecosystem.  Coordination with partners, the ability to quickly solve emerging problems, and lowering operational burdens are likely to be the key messages customers need to hear over the next 12 to 18 months.  Many companies will also look for AI/ML enabled support and operations services, as well as the ability to deploy AI/ML models to support their employees.

The IDW is now a permanent feature of the enterprise.  It will, whether we think about it or not, continue to expand.  By being intentional and focused, enterprises and their vendor partners can derive the best value from this evolving ecosystem, shaping it to their needs.

Shannon Kalvar - Research Director - IDC

Shannon Kalvar is Research Director for Enterprise Systems Management, Enterprise Client Platforms, Observability, and AIOps at IDC. His current research addresses the evolution of digital work, AI in both an end-user and IT operational contexts, and the transformation of IT management in a rapidly changing world where humans must master the exponential increase in data and complexity while navigating tumultuous economic and geopolitical times. Shannon is a member of the Future of Work and AI councils, as well as a contributor to IDCs quantum computing research. He is based in Indianapolis, IN.

Many senior managers who have gone through a transformation from a traditional software development organization to an organization with self-organizing Agile teams, understand that this was a necessary exercise to ensure that value is delivered faster to their everchanging business environment. Where the survival of companies is often a direct result of delivering new user functionality faster than the competition, these managers are usually happy they went through this, but they also recognize that adopting an Agile way of working is not a silver bullet or a guarantee for success.

Although the concept of self-organizing teams sounds great, they still need to be managed in the context of the entire organization, its mission, vision and strategy.

Senior management needs to make decisions regarding budgets, investments, staffing, what to do, and what not to do. They need to decide on the strategic directions, the targets and goals, the operating model but also monitor progress and make corrections when necessary.

What we see in the market is that organizations struggle with the latter, and this is largely due to a lack of objective management information. Many Agile teams use progress metrics that make sense in their team, but which can’t be aggregated into useful management information. However, it’s important to understand the performance of the Agile teams, as they are providing the value to the business and its customers. We see that companies operate on different levels of maturity when it comes to the control they have over their application development teams. The question is: on which maturity level is your company?

A well-known model to look at maturity of processes is the Capability Maturity Model Integration (CMMi) model.  This model assesses the development processes on 5 different levels (see figure).

CMMi maturity levels
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capability_Maturity_Model_Integration

This is a good principle and can be used to assess control over Agile development teams as well. The Agile Control Maturity Model (ACMM), based on the CMMi levels, allows senior management to understand the control level regarding their agile teams and the value they deliver. The following table shows the way IDC Metri looks at the different levels of Agile control maturity.

Low maturity levels (0, 1 and 2)

Most organizations currently are on level 0 or 1. They went through the transformation, and CIO’s and other senior management got advice from Agile coaches and other consultants on how they should manage the new organization where self-organizing teams have a lot of power to decide, and the business is very closely working with the teams to create value. However, on level 0 or 1, you have no idea how much value is created for the budget spent, and how this relates to the competition. Furthermore, predictability is low and it’s hard to manage the interdependencies between teams and to forecast when certain pieces of software will be ready. External teams are contracted based on time and materials (hourly rates) and not output-based (maximum value for money).

High maturity levels (3, 4 and 5)

As an organization gets to a higher maturity level, senior management gets more and more in control. Objective metrics are displayed in up-to-date dashboards, enabling them to make decisions based on facts. This brings along many benefits, like for instance:

  • The ability to demonstrate to stakeholders that you (the CIO and Senior Manager) is in control of the performance and value creation of the Agile teams.
  • Focus on actual value creation by improving productivity and delivery speed, while improving the quality of the product.
  • Objective measurements are used to understand which are the high performing teams and which are the low performing teams. Then the reasons this can be investigated and improvement actions can be carried out.
  • Software Cost Estimation accuracy improves enormously, as data from the  organization and teams can be used to calibrate the parametric models.
  • Leading indicators result in increased predictability of the teams, eliminating schedule or cost slippages.
  • Based on objective measurements and targeted removal of critical violations, the risk in the application portfolio reduces significantly while quality, maintainability and cost levels improve.
  • Output-based metrics can be used in contracting Agile teams, enabling organizations to select the team that provides the most value for money (productivity times average rate) instead of the cheapest one that may not be productive at all.

And there are many more benefits.

In the next figure, typical productivity improvements we observed are shown, where 0% is the market average for comparable teams/applications.

Being an expensive function, Agile development teams should be managed to ensure value is optimized for the investment. But, how do you measure the value? When IT leaders are struggling with this common challenge, IDC Metri has prepared this checklist to help you manage and measure your teams’ performance.

IDC’s Digital Leadership Community (DLC) July 2022 session was much more positive in outlook than I had expected. The participants shared their experiences and plans openly, and it was quite remarkable to be part of a discussion that really focused on “war stories” from the field and great suggestions for action plans.

Inflation is making the war for talent more difficult and is impacting salary expectations for new hires. One member spoke of their finance department telling them that when the recession comes, salaries will fall. But will that really happen? One CIO told us it has already happened in Israel, where a crash in the start-up market has eased the situation from just months ago when requests for salary increases were in the order of 30%–50%. This could be a sign that the overheating in the salary space will subside somewhat due to recessionary pressures.

Nevertheless it was acknowledged that IT skills are in high demand and will remain so. This is reinforced by IDC research that says the gap in available skills is still growing in all markets. The discrepancy in salary between new hires and existing employees is widening due to the need to pay new hires more due to inflation, which is a potential source of friction between employees. One company in a market with inflation running very high said it has resorted to salary reviews every six months to stem the tide and ease the suffering of its IT workforce. Proactively offering wage increases to retain IT talent was discussed.

There was a consensus that inflation is hitting opex contracts hardest, as might be expected, but there were also warnings from participants that negotiations across the board are becoming harder as suppliers brace for rising costs. Many supplier companies are trying to raise prices to adjust to higher costs (including energy costs). One CIO spoke of an SD-WAN contract negotiation where he saw clauses in the contract to ensure flexibility in prices between now and when the contract is actually signed. It was the first time he’d seen such a clause. The consensus was “be ready to walk away from key suppliers if they continue to hold a gun to your head.”

All participants agreed they are expecting more such difficult discussions with vendors until the end of the year. These discussions will have a big impact on IT budgeting in October. For some, who have had contracts in place for more than 10 years, vendors are now asking for additional clauses to provide flexibility for prices.

A positive note was raised by a CIO from Turkey, which is currently at 78% inflation. He said they are used to inflation. “It makes us flexible,” he said. They are focusing on fixed-fee agreements and projects to try to push inflationary risk on to suppliers. They are also migrating to cheaper or free products — they used MS SQL previously, for example, and are now moving to NoSQL and alternatives. He also said, “Big inflation rates make the business side dynamic.” His organisation is consolidating IT across the international group and is planning to have most IT handled from Turkey, as salaries are quite low there, and this reduces costs in opcos in other countries. Essentially, for that CIO, inflation is a challenge but also an opportunity.

One attendee — who had just finished budgeting — said their budget had been agreed with less discussion than ever because the finance department knows that inflation is raging. For now, the company can pass on prices to the market. As a distributor you can benefit from inflation. IT has even provided a special calculation tool to optimise pricing for the distribution business unit. It was noted by participants that price increases are even more drastic due to the dollar-euro exchange rate changes with the strengthening of the dollar.

Attendees also discussed how to decide which projects to postpone. A number of participants said they are looking for higher ROI than usual, in effect taking a harder look than usual, with IT deciding together with business which projects would pay back quickly. An attendee said his organisation is keeping IT “on prem” to delay the shift to opex. Others have moved to outsourcing to save money by avoiding upfront investment.

Will there be a big drop in IT budgets with the expected recession? No one on the call was expecting a big drop. The recommendation from attendees was to slow down strategic projects that have a longer payback period (three to five years) and most have already done that. I asked if anyone expects budgeting to become more dynamic/frequent. The answer from the group was, “No, not really.” One attendee did note that their cloud/FinOps team is looking to forecast cloud costs more frequently to avoid cost surprises and suggested looking for support from AWS and MS for that. Some suggested conducting this assessment on a monthly basis, and getting finance team support for the IT team to do that. The need to educate the executive board about the volatility of cloud costs was also noted.

Energy prices are a crucial factor for some participants. In certain industries the business is doing scenario-based planning based on different exchange rate outcomes and energy price thresholds.

The meeting ended with surprising positivity among the attendees. It was good to see that the Digital Leadership Community is pulling together to help each other in times of adversity. We look forward to you joining us in our next meeting. If you would like to access the DLC board for this quarter and add comments or read the IDC research, please do so here.

If you already receive invitations to our sessions, I hope to see you there. If you would like to join the community, please email Marc Dowd (mdowd@idc.com).

 

IDC Digital Leadership Community – Think Tank Topic August 2022

Brainstorming Out of the Box

Thursday, August 25, 2022, 17:00 CET

Sometimes doing something unexpected can really pay off. This is true of being a Digital Leader, just as it is for disruptive innovation.

In this light-hearted but also serious session we will look at the “hacks” and experiences that we can share. We will be dealing with subjects in all areas from leadership “masterstrokes we have witnessed” to unusual policies that work.

In the session you can expect:

  • Amusing anecdotes with a deeper meaning
  • Car crash policies and how to avoid them
  • The heroes of digital leadership, and why we think they are great

We hope you will join us. Please feel free to suggest Digital Leaders who might benefit from these discussions.

https://www.idc.com/eu/digital-leadership-advisory