As more and more organizations are advancing on their sustainable transformation journey, their efforts are becoming increasingly complex. Sustainability considerations are becoming more integrated in different functions, and ESG (Environmental & Social Governance) performance must be monitored and reported more continuously. IT has become a critical enabler of these transformations as ESG performance monitoring and management process has evolved from an entirely manual exercise to a much more data-intensive process, necessitating the integration of large-scale data models and management platforms.

Since their maturity levels regarding sustainable transformation are generally still relatively low, many organizations also require a significant amount of help from professional services providers regarding their sustainable business and IT strategy setting, reporting, implementation of enabling technologies, etc. This has led to numerous partnerships between professional services and IT providers that have created joint solutions and go-to-market strategies focusing on generating positive financial and non-financial ROIs for their clients and helping them up to speed on their sustainability journey. Recent IDC data shows that many organizations still struggle with a lack of understanding of available sustainability-focused IT, and with making tangible progress in solving the ESG data challenge. This, in hand with professional services firm’s lack of proven tech-enabled sustainability services, has led to users taking smaller, less impactful steps in their sustainable transformations, thus lengthening the time to transform, and increasing resource costs.

Despite the recent political backlash against ESG, the topic remains a top business priority for business decision-makers globally. For instance, we asked the following question in our annual Future of Industry Ecosystems global survey: considering the collective capital among your partners (people, financial, asset, operational), what are the most important collaborative initiatives? The top answer for three years running, whether you are a CxO (CEO, CIO, CTO, CFO, CDO), business line manager, IT leader, supply chain, or customer-facing executive, is sustainability, or environmental, social, governance (ESG).  Organizations want to and need to work closely with ecosystem partners in support of ESG because this is too complex an issue to address on their own.

In support of these efforts, IDC believes that major global organizations that typically orchestrate industry ecosystems will increasingly form cross-ecosystem teams dedicated to ESG activities and task them with facilitating the resulting sustainable practices throughout the ecosystem and their organizations. In our 2023 Future of Industry Ecosystems FutureScape, we predicted that organizations would begin to build sustainability teams consisting of ecosystem partners: By 2025, 60% of G2000 organizations form cross-ecosystem ESG teams that are accountable for sharing of data, applications, operations, and expertise that facilitates sustainable ecosystem practices. Our recent research shows that this approach is well on its way.

Forming dynamic and reconfigurable cross-ecosystem teams that can quickly adapt new business demands to their industry environment promotes trust, cooperation, and solidarity among industry ecosystem participants. Further, working on ESG within an ecosystem consortium enables companies to collaborate with partners, suppliers, advisors, and regulators in the development, tracking and management of industry-specific standards, performance metrics, and targets. Having a cross-ecosystem team dedicated to the stewardship of ESG standards and practices allows partners to not only share development costs and risks but also address issues with a united front and communicate clearly to all stakeholders.

The Most Advanced With Ecosystems Are Most Advanced With ESG

In our Future of Industry Ecosystems MaturityScape Benchmark report (April 2023), we asked about the ecosystem maturity approach with environmental sustainability, and what this entails. An analysis of survivors (those at levels 1 or 2) and thrivers (those at levels 4 or 5) shows that thrivers go one step beyond meeting regularly with partners to ensure sustainability; they create formal teams of leaders across the ecosystem, that share data, applications, operations, expertise, and knowledge as needed to advance their approach to environmental sustainability.

Collaboration With Industry Ecosystem Partners for ESG a Critical Focus

Which statement best describes your organization’s environmental sustainability strategy and approach to your industry ecosystem?

Source: IDC 2023 Future of Industry Ecosystems MaturityScape Benchmark Survey

2024 Multi-Client ESG Ecosystems Research Study

During the first half of 2024, IDC will be fielding a study on ESG best practices and plans with ecosystem partners, including a perception element of current IT and services providers.  We are currently accepting sponsors of this study – which we will look to for guidance on the questions and topics that matter most to you and your business. Contact us to learn more: jhojlo@idc.com, bstengel@idc.com, dversace@idc.com

Contributing authors: Dan Versace and Bjoern Stengel

Jeffrey Hojlo - Research Vice President - IDC

As Research Vice President, Future of Industry Ecosystems, Innovation Strategies, & Energy Insights at IDC, Jeff Hojlo leads one of IDC's Future Enterprise practices at IDC - the Future of Industry Ecosystems. This practice focuses on three areas that help create and optimize trusted industry ecosystems and next generation value chains in discrete and process manufacturing, construction, healthcare, retail, and other industries: shared data & insight, shared applications, and shared operations & expertise. Mr. Hojlo manages a group focused on the research and analysis of the design, simulation, innovation, Product Lifecycle Management (PLM), and Service Lifecycle Management (SLM) market, including emerging strategies across discrete and process manufacturing industry such as product innovation platforms and the closed loop digital thread of product design, development, digital manufacturing, supply chain, and SLM. He also manages IDC's North American Energy Insights group, with a focus on key topics such as energy transition & sustainability, distributed energy resource management, and digital transformation in the Oil & Gas and Utilities industries.

The Best of Times

For Apple, it is the best of times, thanks to the way it has consolidated its position in its traditional markets and raised its game above that of Android in higher price segments.

In 2023 it became the world’s largest phone maker by volume, surpassing Samsung according to IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker.

Volumes and unit share have been creeping up since 2019  (Chart 1 below), and the value of iPhone shipments has close to doubled in a decade.  Various factors have helped Apple achieve this.

Source: IDC Worldwide Mobile Phone Tracker, January 2024

Apple increasingly takes the top of the market, creaming off well-heeled consumers in affluent countries for its premium phones. (Chart 2 below)

Source: IDC Worldwide Mobile Phone Tracker, November 2023

More specifically, Apple has ridden a wave of consumers preparing to put more money down for their phones and the iPhone 14 and 15 series have resonated with consumers.

The consumer willingness to pay more has pushed Apple even further ahead of its competitors in value terms, and the most expensive Pro models in the new ranges have become the most popular models in its flagship lineup.

Behind Apple’s rising trend are also familiar reasons like the impact of the coronavirus crisis, during which consumers got used to spending more on devices given how much more people use them. 

Apple also continues to leverage mobile operators to great advantage.

In Apple’s top 20 markets by share, nearly two-thirds of iPhones are sold through the telco channel, according to IDC data, a figure which has hardly dropped in the last five years.

Their postpaid financing and trade-in deals drive a lot of the iPhone’s volumes. IDC’s Final Tier Mobile Phone Tracker shows that in the US 88% of iPhones are sold through operator postpaid. Generous buyback offers encourage consumers to trade in for the latest iPhone model, knowing that they will get a good price when they repeat the trade in a couple of years.

These deals have helped Apple in those top 20 markets to increase its share in Price bands above $650 to over three quarters.

Serendipity has played a role in Apple’s rise too – Apple’s share in China jumped after US sanctions in 2019 stopped Huawei from accessing US components necessary to make 5G smartphones, essentially knocking Huawei out of the smartphone race.  Since then, Apple has more than doubled its share in China and became number 1 for the first time ever in 2023. 

A less talked about factor is that Apple has reached this position without much change in its geographical focus. Outside of its growth in China, the majority of its sales remain skewed to the richer parts of the world.  The Top 20 Apple markets by units share account for more than half of total iPhone shipments, but they account for less than 10% of the global population.

Also, four-fifths of iPhones are priced above $800 (Chart 3 below). Catering to richer markets and more affluent consumers also made Apple more resilient to the current macro crisis. The strength of Apple’s ecosystem, its walled garden of apps, its family of devices, and its well-renowned focus on user experience, also helped maintain demand for Apple during recent challenging years.  As did the iPhone’s stronger resale value throughout its life cycle.

Source: IDC Worldwide Mobile Phone Tracker, November 2023

Apple has also done well in supply: its superior navigation of the supply chain crisis from Covid-19-related lockdowns enabled its production to escape relatively unscathed, unlike some other industry players.

The Worst of Times

For Samsung on the other hand, it seems like the worst of times in the phone market. It has lost its position as number one in units, a position many in the phone business saw it retaining longer.

As the world’s everything everywhere brand in the phone market, many of Samsung’s difficulties in the last few years have to do with parts of the world, that is most of it, where the iPhone is an aspiration much more frequently than a possession.

It’s not just Samsung which is in the doldrums, it is the global Android market; global Android shipments shrank around 5 percent in 2023 and a total of 20 percent over the last five years.

There were some specific reasons why 2023 was a bad year.

While in the richer world affluence and postpaid deals gave many consumers the choice to ignore the wave of inflation and cost of living pressures, that was far less of an option for vulnerable poorer consumers, who reined in spending on Android smartphones.

So Android sales contracted in many countries, including those of Samsung, since two-thirds of its volume are low-end devices below $400 (Chart 3)

The economic situation in China as it emerged from the coronavirus lockdown dragged down the local market for one and had a knock-on effect on the global market.

But there are more general factors at play.

The motors of the Android market are also much less dynamic than they were. The Chinese 5G boom was over two years ago, and the Indian smartphone market is no longer growing so rapidly or consistently.

The market potential of some emerging markets remains long term, for instance, Africa – where despite smartphone penetration of around 40% according to the GSMA mobile trade body, the market is essentially flat.

Africa has been hit by the global downturn, with falls in several local currencies and new laws imposing import restrictions crashing certain large markets. Emerging markets often suffer badly in a global downturn.

So where has this left Samsung?

In terms of the Android players, it is not doing badly. It has retained its unit market share in Android, in fact it has been level-pegging for several years now.

It has also regained some of the premium smartphone share it lost when it stopped producing its Note series, and it leads in foldable. It has simplified and rationalized its model portfolio, increased its focus on the premium market, and gained 7pts in share from Apple over the last two years (Chart 2).

In the big mid-market economies which are key to the Android market outside China and India – Brazil and Mexico, Thailand and Malaysia – Samsung has in the last couple of years held its own, as it has in larger and poorer Indonesia and the Philippines, and of particular note in India.

Furthermore, Samsung has pushed up its ASP in many of these markets, despite bringing 5G rapidly to lower price points in its portfolio.

So Samsung is not that badly placed if Android-focused markets begin to grow again

These markets are more dependent on the economic cycle than Apple’s key markets, but the economic tide will turn.

Samsung may need to focus its competition in richer Apple markets on foldables, where Apple currently has no product, and reorientate its other flagships towards price brackets affordable in middle-income countries.

Apple meanwhile still faces the challenge of renewed competition from Huawei in China and how to expand into more countries without compromising the premium position of its products.

While Apple has pulled ahead of Samsung in unit sales, for now, they remain close rivals. It is a lopsided contest, in that Apple has the advantage of its own and compelling OS ecosystem while Samsung is limited by Android.

But Samsung is a feisty company, a global consumer electronics player with a worldwide presence, and not about to take playing second fiddle to Apple lightly.

Simon Baker - Senior Research Director - IDC

Simon Baker is responsible for mobile phone research across Europe. He also supervises this research in the Middle East and Africa. He provides detailed insight on a wide range of IDC clients, both at a regional level and globally, drawing from his extensive experience of the industry's evolution over the last two decades across developed and emerging markets. As a coordinator of IDC's global mobile phone forecasting team, especially on 5G technologies, Simon is a regular commentator on worldwide developments in the mobile industry through the IDC EMEA blog and through other articles in media such as FierceTelecom. Simon has been quoted in numerous media outlets including Bloomberg, Forbes and the South China Morning Post, and appeared on Bloomberg Television.

Looking back at 2023, various factors and events come to mind that encapsulate the year: challenges such as economic slowdowns, soft recessions and flat GDP, rising interest rates, and inflation, which, in the tech industry would reflect focusing on controlling costs in areas such as cloud. Geopolitical tensions also surged, sparking new conflicts across global regions, while the relentless impacts of climate change continued to fuel natural disasters.

However, amidst these difficulties, there were also positive strides. COP28’s landmark agreement marked a pivotal shift away from fossil fuels, signaling a collective commitment to combatting climate change. Additionally, the WHO declaration of the end of the COVID-19 global emergency unblocked key trade and economic areas. Scientific and technological advancements were abundant, with the standout being the explosive rise of Generative AI, profoundly influencing investment plans, not just in the tech industry, but permeating other sectors, governments, and institutions. We are entering the AI-everywhere chapter in the Digital Business era.

IDC is not in the business of looking at the past, but rather analyzing how past and ongoing events shape the future digital landscapes. Keeping in mind the main highlights of last year, let’s take a look at the key macro events that are going to shape digital agendas in 2024:

  • From AI Ambitions to Actions: If 2023 has signaled the beginning of the AI everywhere chapter, 2024 is expected to be its consecration, or is it? The transition from AI aspirations to practical implementation is hindered by many factors: critical infrastructure and skills shortages, rising implementation costs, and rapidly changing infrastructure and data strategies; yet businesses are eager to progress.
  • The IT Industry AI Pivot: Tech providers are shifting R&D, staffing, and CAPEX investments to AI/automation. This creates a fascinating challenge for IT companies, where possessing the solution allows them to dictate prices, creating a competitive race between cloud, SaaS, major consulting firms, and key infrastructure players in determining the direction of the industry. It will be interesting to see how the 2023 investments will come to fruition in 2024, also in terms of new use cases, applications, and innovations; and, how Technology providers will react to the initial adoption challenges and show the potential of business value to end-users.
  • The Elections’ Year: EU elections, general elections in the UK and the US, and more than 60 other general elections worldwide are poised to shape the future guidance of global equilibria. These will have repercussions on the digital landscape: a shift in political powers in key regions might cause the readjustment or the halt of ongoing national plans and new priorities in countries’ digital agenda – green initiatives, international relations, investments, and regulations.
  • Inflation Evolution: the normalization of inflation rates towards the 2% target is likely to have to wait some more time. Despite some positive signs of deflation in the second half of 2023, prices rose again towards the end of the year. As a result, it seems we reached the peak of the interest rate raise, but it’s still uncertain whether we’ll see some cuts in H1 2024 or later on in the year. Ongoing disruptions in supply chains pose an increasing threat to the oil and energy sectors, and in many regions, IT product and service supply chain issues will also continue to affect costs and access to innovations.
  • Digital Regulations: In 2024, significant developments in IT regulations are anticipated, particularly on AI, with Europe taking the lead through the EU AI Act. This legislation will impact global players, although its effects may not be fully evident until later. The year will be crucial for gauging the timeline, initial consequences, and the enforcement approach of Member States. Other global players are engaged in the race to regulate AI, including the US with its executive order on AI and various legislative proposals in Congress, China and its draft rules on Gen AI, and Brazil’s somewhat EU-inspired rules. Other digital regulations are also going to be key this year, including the EU’s Digital Operational Resilience Act and the CSRD, data privacy regulations in various US states from California to Texas, and more.
  • Sustainability for Real: after the historic COP28’s agreement on fossil fuels, 2024 marks a pivotal year for sustainability reforms, also in the face of the increasingly frequent natural disasters – directly linked to climate change – that have been affecting the whole world in the last 12 months. Europe is poised to step up, as stringent regulations will be enforced in the region; in the US, the incentive-based approach with the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is finally expected to have a greater impact in 2024 and the SEC rules on climate disclosure; China’s strategic emphasis on its green industry to gain competitive advantage in global markets; some APAC countries have stringent climate and ESG regulations, like Australia and South Korea. Digital transformation and technologies will have a key role there, leveraging IT solutions to carry out green initiatives, but also by making the IT industry itself more sustainable and greener. VC funding for climate tech and sustainability innovations slowed down in 2023, but the newly established fund by COP28 will set precedence for further acceleration in this space. 2024 will also be the year when countries and organizations start linking AI investment decisions to the positive and negative implications of meeting sustainability goals.
  • Ecosystem Evolution Scenario: China’s supply and economic recovery plays a pivotal role in shaping global dynamics. The continued growth and resilience of China’s supply chains have far-reaching implications for the global economy, as the country remains a key player in various industries. As China attempts to recover from economic challenges and adapts its ecosystem, the implications can reshape global trade and IT market dynamics. The rise of digital sovereignty and protectionism, in general, is already redefining global trade and technology markets. Countries are focused on securing their technology supply chains, resulting in heightened competition for critical materials and a push for technological self-reliance. This trend, driven by concerns over national security and economic interests, could fragment the global tech supply chain and reshape the balance of power in emerging industries.
  • Continued Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing conflicts in strategic global regions – the invasion of Ukraine and in the Middle East – continue to affect the markets in terms of investments, supply chain disruptions, and volatile oil prices. As we have been increasingly learning in the past couple of years, the IT market is not immune to these shocks: critical data centers are affected, talent is displaced or relocated, and key components procurement flows are disrupted. The supply chain deserves a spotlight, specifically related to disruptions in key worldwide shipping channels that are affected by ongoing conflicts. As things stand, most of the most critical conflicts happening worldwide are unlikely to be resolved in the short term, and their continuation can amplify their unsettling outcomes.

It’s essential to monitor ongoing macroeconomic events and be ready to assess and adjust strategic plans in the face of unexpected shocks. We follow all of this and more in our Digital Economy Strategies research. Get in touch to discover how IDC can support you in this continuously changing environment.

Lapo Fioretti - Senior Research Analyst - IDC

Lapo Fioretti is a Senior Research analyst in IDC Digital Business Research Group, leading the European Emerging Technologies Strategies research. In his role, he advises ICT players on how European organizations leverage new technologies to create business value and achieve growth and analyzes the development and impact of emerging trends on the markets. Fioretti also co-leads the IDC Worldwide MacroTech Research program, focused on the intertwined connection between the Economical and Digital worlds - analyzing the impact key MacroEconomic factors have on the digital landscape and viceversa, how technologies are impacting economies around the world.

The IDC Retail Insights Team joined attendees from technology and retail companies at Javits Convention Center in New York City for NRF 2024: Retail’s Big Show. The event, which took place from January 14 through January 16, saw 40,000+ attendees, topping the over 30,000 visitors of last year’s edition.

At the show, we engaged in 200+ meetings with technology vendors to learn more about their offerings and discuss the latest trends in retail technology. The theme of operational efficiency and the focus on use cases and technologies that generate return on investment (ROI) permeated the discussions we had with delegates.

Some of the key points gathered during our conversations include:

  • “Sensible” approach to Generative AI applications: We were expecting a lot of conversations around Generative AI (Gen AI) this year. We weren’t disappointed. But the approach taken by tech vendors and retailers focused on use cases that generate ROIs and provide value to customers, rather than on the application of the technology per se.

For example, leveraging Gen AI to build content for coding, to create and enrich product descriptions, for content supply chain, for product reviews, etc., came out regularly in our conversations with vendors when asked what retailers are looking at in terms of Gen AI applications.

  • AI-driven organizational changes: Challenges related to the implementation of Gen AI were also touched. One vendor said that this year is going to be the year of the proliferation of Gen AI models, and retailers will need guidance from vendors. Managing and cleaning data that feeds into Gen AI is also another challenge retailers face.

Also, change management is to become key in organizations expanding Gen AI applications. The technology is likely to augment, rather than replace, employees, but require a cultural change within organizations.

  • AI-driven changes in consumer dynamics: Related to AI, discussions around generative search and contextual buying were fascinating. This approach brings a systemic change in the way shoppers search for products online, moving away from searching by single products to searching by context.

For example, instead of looking for specific grocery items, shoppers will be able to ask the search engine to come up with a list of items they can buy if they want to put together a healthy meal for the family based on the available budget. AI also brings increased customer experience personalization, such as in pricing and promotions, enabling brands and retailers to offer bespoke discounts and product recommendations to shoppers based on their personal preferences and the status of the customer journey.

  • Values-driven customer data and loyalty: In today’s cookiesless era, data is the golden reserve of every brand and retailer. For this reason, retaining and increasing loyalty and loyal customers is a critical priority of customer experience.

Loyalty is intrinsically driven by trust and contextual personalization and results in customer lifetime value and customer satisfaction. Thus, retailers and brands are offering to customers multi-loyalty programs, and as we predict, this is expected to involve 40% of retailers globally over the next two years.

By launching multi-loyalty programs, retailers can offer multi-level/membership to customers, who can improve their status to “VIP/exclusive” stages, accessing personalized experiences. At the same time, retailers can be a partner ecosystem enabler of loyalty, where customers can accrue and redeem reward points across sectors (from hotels and shopping malls to grocery stores and fuel stations).

  • The evolution of the physical store: Far from being anything new, but the physical store remains central in Retail. According to our research, more than 60% of retail revenues are generated via the physical store in 2023. The focus at NRF was on how to augment the role of the physical store, enhancing a frictionless shopping experience, increasing its efficiencies, and integrating with the digital shopping journey.

Unsurprisingly, AI was front and centre in the conversations related to the store, with applications including computer vision for faster and more efficient item recognition and pricing at self-checkouts, and for shrinkage prevention and traffic and customer behaviour analytics.

But a less expected, big comeback this year was the RFID technology, as its application has become economically viable in subsegments including apparel and fashion retail, enabling seamless scanning and payment for items at self-checkout or through cashierless scan-and-go, easier in-store returns and more effective loss and shrinkage prevention.     

  • Commerce platforms become unified: the theme of composability was unsurprisingly front and centre of our conversations on commerce platforms with technology vendors. Some 77% of retailers describe their commerce architecture as composable, according to our research.

Composability offers key advantages including greater flexibility, customization, and scalability, making it the preferred choice for many brands and retailers that need the ability to continuously respond to today’s fast-evolving market. Platform providers stress the importance of composable platforms to enable integration with partners’ services.

One recurring theme this year was the expansion of channel-less capabilities of digital commerce platforms, as many vendors highlighted their plans to expand capabilities including mobile POS apps or facilitate integrations with partners that provide POS. This signals how the persistent importance of the physical store noted above is also shaping the modernization and consolidation of applications and solutions into a unique platform, conceived to serve the rapid growth of digital commerce in recent years. 

  • Alternative approaches to returns: Many of our conversations with attendees revolved around the issue of returns. One of the greatest challenges in today’s omnichannel retail is to effectively manage the last mile, both for order fulfilment and returns.

The approach that we saw emerging in the conversation with technology vendors revolved around the need for retailers to limit the need for returns, on top of making those that occur the most efficient and frictionless as possible. For example, leveraging Gen AI to enhance product description reduces the likelihood of shoppers returning items as they receive something that doesn’t match their expectations.

Another approach we saw was the “weaponization” of returns, that is the use of returns as an occasion to create better engagement with shoppers and upsell, for instance by enabling shoppers to trade in unwanted items for credits to buy something else, facilitating a seamless re-commerce cycle.

Another approach to ease the impact of returns on retail operations is the personalization of returns, that is offering better return terms to valuable shoppers. For example, brands and retailers—particularly in segments selling high-value items such as luxury goods—partner with rapid delivery services to offer rapid returns to high-value customers.

  • Expansion of the marketplace: The marketplace model is gaining momentum. Over 23% of retailers’ revenue was generated by digital channels including marketplaces in 2023. But the trend is not limited to retail.

In a few conversations at NRF, it was interesting to see the growth of marketplaces outside retail B2C to offer one-stop-shop experiences to customers in finance, travel, B2B, etc., as more companies outside retail turn to technology providers and consultants to expand their offering through the channel, and to gather intelligence on what items and services, including those offered by partners, sell best.

 

NRF 2024 was a great opportunity to engage with technology vendors and learn about the latest trends in retail technology. The key message emerging from the event is that retailers need to continuously embrace change to stay ahead of the competition, but they need to do so by ensuring that efficiency and profitability are safeguarded and enhanced.

What we highlighted above, including the focus on Gen AI that generates ROIs, AI-driven changes in organizations and consumer dynamics, the creative approaches to returns, and the developments in physical and digital commerce, are just a few of the many trends that are shaping the future of retail. Brands and retailers should take note of these trends and consider how they can leverage them to improve their businesses, start exploring these trends, and experiment with different use cases and technologies to stay ahead of the curve.

If you want to know more, please reach us out at fbattaini@idc.com or ourso@idc.com.

Strong Headwinds Disrupting the Built Environment Industries

The built environment sector is often seen as a laggard in productivity and technology adoption. However, this is changing: the strong headwinds of the last few years have forced companies to evolve and innovate.

The pandemic led to widespread supply chain shocks felt acutely by the construction sector and with geopolitical tensions increasing, including in the Red Sea, this issue is here to stay. Covid-19 also led to one of the largest shake ups in the real estate industry with significant drops in office occupancy rates in the move back to hybrid work.

While occupancy rates are recovering, they are not expected to return to pre-pandemic levels. Add to this potent mix, the energy crisis and increasing ESG targets and regulatory requirements.

PropTech Companies Are Injecting Innovation

Property technology (PropTech) companies are injecting much-needed innovation into the industry and driving significant changes across building life cycles from design to construction, operation, maintenance, and demolition. We have published a PropTech Innovator Report highlighting 3 Innovate companies that are providing transformative solutions across the built environment sector.

In line with the AI era,  which IDC refers to as to as AI Everywhere, each Innovator highlighted in the report is leveraging AI in their solutions.

Our research highlights that the top priorities for built environment executives are improving operational efficiency and cost reduction, enhancing environmental sustainability and improving resilience to climatic hazards. Organizations are increasingly applying technology to help support these business objectives.

For example, to meet their sustainability goals, 66% of real estate companies are investing in data and analytics including AI, and 61% are investing in space and workplace technology (IDC’s Sustainable Buildings, Homes, and Districts Survey, 2023, n = 654).

Announcing IDC’s “Worldwide PropTech Innovators, 2023”

The PropTech companies highlighted in the Innovator span the building lifecycle and reflect the diverse range of companies encapsulated in this market. The first innovator — nPlan — is changing the way in which major projects can be planned, designed, and monitored through an AI-enabled software solution drawing on over 750,000 project schedules. The second — Skandal — is providing IoT driven lighting displays that respond to building inhabitants to improve occupant experience and promote behavioral change. Finally, Xandar Kardian’s solution monitors occupant motion through the innovative use of radar technology and can also monitor resting heart rate and respiratory rate for applications in health and social care facilities.

IDC is developing further Innovator reports focused on innovation in the built environment so please get in contact if you are an SME and meet the eligibility criteria – jdignan@idc.com lbarker@idc.com

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Louisa Barker - Senior Research Manager, IDC Government Insights, Europe - IDC

Louisa Barker is a senior research manager in the European IDC Government Insights team, leading research on smart, sustainable, and resilient cities and communities. She has international experience providing analysis, policy advice, and consultancy to the public sector on disaster risk management, urban building and planning regulation, and smart cities. Previous roles have included Urban Resilience Consultant at the World Bank, focused on projects in the Caribbean and East Africa, and as a researcher at technology and innovation accelerators such as the Future Cities Catapult and the University College London City Leadership Laboratory. She is also a Specialist Advisor to the International Building Quality Centre.

We continue to reside in uncertain economic times. Whether you look at geopolitics, like the situation in Israel and Ukraine, or you consider volatile energy prices, the long-tail effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, higher inflation and its direct impact on the tech industry, or even the quickly approaching 2024 U.S. election, all these factors continue to have an effect on the economy and ultimately on the predictability of services providers’ (SPs’) businesses. However, while market conditions will eventually wane and course-correct, a different challenge facing services providers continues to progress and is unlikely to resolve without decisive action — the erosion of services providers’ strategic value.

Faster. Cheaper. Fewer, and with less influence. These are just a few of the many forces at play in today’s services markets. Services customers want more for less, with less risk, faster proof of value, more risk sharing, and costs that are directly tied to outcomes through value-based pricing. Provider adoption is also consolidating, with companies now using fewer providers for core services.

Companies have become very comfortable utilizing third-party services firms and providers to support many core facets of their business, both business process-based and technology-focused. The approach of utilizing multiple providers to hedge corporate risk is still a critical part of a firm’s sourcing strategy, but there are signs that firms will be reducing the portfolio of vendors on which they rely.  As the value and trustworthiness of utilizing external providers for core services have proven increasingly safe and reliable, companies are now shifting their third-party services strategy toward simplicity and cost-effectiveness over and above diversification and redundancy. As companies seek help accelerating digital transformation and building resiliency, they have become markedly more comfortable doing all this with a smaller number of providers.

At the same time, the order in which various types of third-party vendors are engaged is beginning to shift, resulting in services providers slipping backward in their proverbial “place in line.” Services providers have historically led strategic technology discussions and then worked with clients to bring in the technology providers that are needed. The opposite is beginning to occur, which has resulted in customers now turning first to technology firms and public cloud providers. You can read more about this trend in another recently published IDC report found here.

IDC’s Services Path program, an annual global survey of 2,600 companies, has also confirmed this shifting to be true. When companies were asked what sources of information they primarily utilize to select various types of firms, the number 1 source of information was cloud services providers (e.g., AWS, Azure, Google, and IBM), followed in second place by sourcing arms of consultancies (e.g., PwC, Deloitte, EY, and KPMG). In addition, when companies were asked what type of vendors they believe are best suited to help them with digital transformation, the top answer was IT infrastructure providers (e.g., HPE, Dell Technologies, and Cisco), with business or IT consultancy firms (e.g., Accenture, Deloitte, PwC, EY, and McKinsey) placing second.

Public cloud providers and technology vendors are now often taking the lead in strategy discussions, only to then bring in traditional services providers later when needed. This modified approach is further contributing to why traditional pure services providers are becoming viewed as less influential.

How Services Providers Fight Back

IDC has just published a report examining this phenomenon, which includes a deeper discussion of these trends, along with advice for services providers on how they can fight back against this strategic challenge.  The full report can be found on our website, but here are a few highlights and findings from the study.

Leveraging AI Everywhere

Just like the long on-prem software implementations of yesteryear were sent by the wayside with the advent of cloud, the same will happen to traditional services delivery models as AI matures and becomes more reliable and accepted. Companies have less patience for long transformation projects and lengthy deployments. As more service offerings become asset-based, self-service, and AI-driven, the days of long, expensive, human capital–intensive service engagements will dwindle.

IDC predicts that by 2025, 40% of all services engagements will include GenAI-enabled delivery (see IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Services 2024 Predictions). This is further supported by the results of IDC’s Services Path program, which found the top 3 business priorities for companies today are increasing productivity, improving operational efficiency, and improving talent performance, all of which are expected to be directly enhanced by the adoption and advancement of GenAI. Likewise, businesses are heavily focused on bringing in services providers that excel in AI expertise above and beyond any other new technology. IDC’s Services Path found proficient AI skills to be nearly twice as important as any other new technology skill set when businesses are selecting which services firm they want to engage.

Reducing Barriers To Success

IDC’s Services Path respondents were asked what characteristics their vendors demonstrated that became barriers to success for their organization. The top 3 responses, in order, were “vendor is unable to meet service levels/requirements;” “inability to support more complex needs;” and “vendor can’t adapt quickly enough to changes in requirements.”  Part of traditional services providers fighting back against their waning strategic positioning needs to include rapidly recognizing and removing these barriers to success for their customers.

ABC, Talent, Pricing and more

There are several other notable topics that services firms will need to further address to fight back against current market trends, some of which include expanded use of asset-based consulting, developing more flexible pricing structures that are closer aligned with value delivery, counteracting the talent squeeze (both for themselves and their customers), and further optimized and self-service driven managed service offerings.  

The full report discusses all these topics in more detail, but there are a few important things for services providers to keep in mind:

  1. Differentiate based on pricing flexibility and risk sharing.   IDC’s Services Path found the most important metrics used by companies to shortlist services vendors are their ability to provide compelling proof of ROI, offer multiple pricing options, and provide flexible pricing terms.
  2. Partner with technology vendors to utilize their SaaS platforms and co-develop ABC offerings.  Not only will this save both upstart time and required investment, but partnering with an already industry-leading company is the fastest way to establish credibility and reduce barriers to entry.
  3. Reskilling labor will be a vital component of meeting the impeding demand for AI-centric services.  For example, IDC predicts that by 2025, 40% of organizations will re-skill their customer care agents to take up different roles to deliver better business value, largely driven by the adoption of GenAI in the contact center.

Companies today are looking for strategic partners that can be utilized broadly across the life cycle from consulting to managed services, can understand the nuances of their business, have deep expertise in their industry, and can provide fast proof of value beyond simply helping cut costs. Ultimately, services providers that can help businesses harness innovative technologies, link them to their business processes, and connect their strategy to their tactical needs to drive top-line growth are the firms that will solidify a long-term seat at the head of their client’s strategy table.

Eric Newmark - Group Vice President/General Manager - IDC

Eric Newmark is Group Vice President & General Manager of IDC's SaaS, Enterprise Software, and Worldwide Services Division, which includes several teams of analysts covering Software-as-a-Service, 18 enterprise application markets, industry cloud, software monetization, business platforms and marketplaces, and professional services firms focused on outsourcing services, engineering services, and global services, markets, and trends. Eric also leads or co-leads three of IDC's cloud data products, including Industry CloudPath, SaaSPath, and Industry AI Path, which collectively provide global intelligence and benchmark information on the cloud, SaaS, and AI markets, across 30 industries. These programs provide strategic guidance and advisory services to both technology providers and industrial companies on technology adoption, maturity, deployment models, best practices, vendor ratings, purchasing preferences, and buyer journeys.

In a situation where attention spans are fleeting and competition is fierce, the strategic use of storytelling emerges as a force in successful value-based selling. Sales enablement stories, when crafted with finesse, have the power to captivate, persuade, and ultimately drive conversions. If you find yourself questioning how to create high-value sales enablement content, consider these three pivotal elements that elevate sales enablement stories into high-impact narratives, seamlessly integrating the principles of value-based selling and a strategic sales enablement strategy.

1. Be Authentic

The era of scripted pitches is long gone. Modern buyers crave authenticity—they want to connect with real people and real stories. Embedding authenticity into your sales enablement story involves showcasing genuine experiences, challenges, and triumphs. Whether it’s a customer testimonial or a personal anecdote from a team member, the authenticity of your narrative establishes trust and resonates with your audience on a human level.

In the pursuit of authenticity, sales teams can leverage a powerful tool: the buyer conversation guide. This guide serves as a roadmap, empowering sales professionals to navigate conversations with a personalized touch. By providing a structured yet flexible framework, a buyer conversation guide ensures that the sales narrative aligns seamlessly with the unique needs and challenges of each prospect. This not only enhances the authenticity of the interaction but also enables sales teams to actively listen and respond to the specific concerns of the buyer.

A well-crafted buyer conversation guide goes beyond the traditional script, encouraging dynamic and meaningful exchanges. It equips sales professionals with the knowledge to ask the right questions, uncover pain points, and showcase how their product or service adds tangible value to the buyer’s journey. This personalized approach transforms the sales conversation from a mere transaction to a consultative dialogue, fostering trust and building a foundation for a long-lasting customer relationship.

2. Focus on your Persona

Every great story follows the classic hero’s journey, and your sales enablement story should be no different. By casting your customer in the protagonist role, you create a narrative that is relatable and emotionally compelling. This approach aligns seamlessly with the principles of value-based selling, where the focus is on solving the customer’s problems and adding tangible value to their journey.

A high-impact sales enablement story is not a one-size-fits-all affair. Recognize the diversity of your audience and tailor your narrative to resonate with different segments. This requires a keen understanding of your buyer personas and the ability to adapt your story to address their specific needs and challenges.

Digital coaching and sales mastery classes emerge as indispensable tools in this quest for knowledge. These modern methods of learning provide interactive, real-world scenarios, allowing sales teams to immerse themselves in the shoes of the buyer. Through simulated experiences, they gain insights into the intricacies of the buyer’s decision-making process, honing their skills to address objections and deliver compelling value propositions.

3. Create a Visual and Interactive Story

In the age of information overload, visuals are the unsung heroes of effective communication. Incorporate visual elements into your sales enablement story, such as infographics, videos, or interactive presentations. These not only enhance the overall engagement but also make complex concepts easier to understand. A well-crafted visual narrative can significantly boost the memorability of your message, making it a valuable asset in your sales enablement strategy.

Rather than presenting a one-way narrative, build your sales enablement strategy around a framework that encourages interactive engagement with your audience. Incorporate elements that invite participation, such as polls, quizzes, or interactive simulations. This not only keeps your audience actively involved but also provides valuable insights into their preferences and pain points. The interactive nature of your sales enablement story transforms it from a passive presentation to an engaging conversation, fostering a deeper connection between your brand and potential customers.

However, the effectiveness of interactive engagement also hinges on the tools at the disposal of the sales teams. To truly empower sales professionals to engage in more impactful storytelling, it’s imperative to ensure they are equipped with cutting-edge interactive tools. The value of interactive selling tools lies in their ability to guide prospects through a personalized journey and facilitate a two-way conversation. By tailoring the narrative to the specific needs and interests of each prospect, sales teams can effectively demonstrate the unique value proposition of their offering.

In the dynamic landscape of sales enablement, where innovation is key, the art of crafting high-impact stories becomes a potent weapon. By embracing authenticity, visual storytelling with interactive engagement, and adaptability, you can elevate your sales enablement strategy to new heights. These elements, when seamlessly woven together, create a narrative that not only sells but resonates, leaving a lasting impression in the minds of your audience.

Globally, cities are rediscovering the importance of their rivers as a central tenet of the health, wellbeing, and economy of a city. A river was often, if not always, the reason for a city to develop and grow, but during the 20th century city, authorities began to focus primarily on the built environment and to see water management as a less important sub issue of city management.

With the rise of environmental awareness in the 21st century, cities are beginning to relook at the interrelationship between the built environment and their rivers. We have been tracking this new direction through their research on River Cities and how technology now allows us to instrument both water and the built environment in concert.

According to our research, 28% of local governments across EMEA are already investing in smart rivers with an additional 29% considering investing in the future (IDC Survey, December 2023).

The French are Reclaiming their Rivers

France is emerging as a leader in this process, and the clearest example of this will be the opening ceremony of the 2024 Olympic Games.

Paris is the most visited city in the world, and it is impossible to imagine Paris without picturing the Seine. Olympic opening ceremonies are historically held in a stadium, but France will be using the banks of the Seine for the ceremony to increase participation and celebrate the special relationship between the river and the city.

The Digital Twin Project

A further French example of this new thinking is captured in a recently published IDC Perspective Building a River Digital Twin: A Case Study of the Port de Bordeaux. This document provides an overview of a project led by the Port de Bordeaux, an entity managing marine activities across Bordeaux and the Gironde Estuary.

The objective of the project is to create a digital twin of the Estuary – the largest Estuary in Western Europe covering around 635 km2. The Gironde Estuary is formed from the meeting of the rivers of Dordogne and Garonne and spans several cities, the main one being Bordeaux with more than 250k residents. The Port de Bordeaux manages 7 terminals is the 7th largest French port in terms of traffic.

The digital twin was built to help project participants in both their day-day tactical decision-making process (for example, information on water levels, pollution and navigation) as well as addressing longer-term and strategic challenges (adaptation and impacts of climate change). The Port de Bordeaux developed 8 core goals for the digital twin project:

  • Sharing and developing knowledge of the river.
  • Promoting the exchange of data and operational results.
  • Anticipating the effects of climate change.
  • Identifying mitigation solutions.
  • Developing economic, recreational and tourism opportunities.
  • Preserving biodiversity and environmental wealth.
  • Developing coastal and river surveillance (alert systems).
  • Fostering replicability of the platform on other rivers.

 

An innovative aspect of this project is that the project team looked beyond environmental challenges to a broader set of objectives, including, for example, economic and recreational activities. This approach is centred on the view of a river as a complex ecosystem of different stakeholders and an integral part of the identity of the region. The project has a wide target audience, and the use cases, outputs and goals were co-created with the relevant stakeholders at the design stage.

Digital twins are at an early stage of adoption for rivers and marine environments. However, the application of technologies to the blue economy is increasing.

We predict that, by 2027, threatened by water scarcity and extreme weather, 40% of large cities will have digital twins of their water resources to manage water supply, quality, resilience and behavioural change (IDC Smart Cities and Communities 2023 Futurescape).

The Port de Bordeaux is an early adopter and can provide a model and blueprint for others to follow as a core principle of the project was making as many aspects as possible open source. Local stakeholders can upload their own data and use the GIROS platform to visualize their results. This supports a broader community of users being able to take advantage of the model.

Crucially, the Bordeaux project team intentionally designed the solution to be replicable on other rivers; while the numerical model for the Gironde is geographically specific, the framework and architecture of the solution is being made publicly available.

We are soon to publish our first Tech Innovator report on companies involved in rivers and water management and are keen to hear of innovative technology solutions and case studies involving river management for future reports so please do get in touch with us jdignan@idc.com, lbarker@idc.com, rletemple@idc.com

Remi Letemple - Senior Research Analyst, IDC Government Insights - IDC

Remi Letemple leads IDC’s Worldwide Sustainable Transportation and Smart Vehicles Strategies service, where he provides strategic guidance and thought leadership on the future of mobility and transportation. Operating at a global level, he is recognized as a subject matter expert in smart mobility and transportation technologies—including connected, autonomous, shared, and electric mobility—enabled by software-defined vehicle (SDV) architectures, over-the-air (OTA) updates, cloud and edge platforms, and AI, including generative AI.

Organizations in every industry continue to focus their next chapter of digital transformation on ecosystem expansion; we hear this from organizations in every industry. Working more closely with partners in and outside your core industry to support multiple use cases and initiatives is critical for success. However, it’s not always easy. 

Knowing which use cases and initiatives to focus on is often not immediately evident, and resources, processes, and tools are disparate and misaligned.  Our recently published IDC MaturityScape Report provides a framework for guiding organizations. Within this, we defined five key dimensions, and related sub-dimensions, that organizations and their partners must consider to be successful:

  1. People: Culture, Collaboration, and Leadership
  2. Process: Platform, Intelligence, and Metrics
  3. Technology: Shared data, Shared applications, and Blended digital/physical
  4. Operations: Availability, Governance & Trust, and Environmental sustainability
  5. Innovation: Rate, Management, and Openness

For details regarding each dimension and sub-dimension, see Table 1 in IDC MaturityScape: Future of Industry Ecosystems 1.0.

In this age of AI and generative AI, let’s talk about people.  The people dimension was one of the most mature of industry ecosystems, according to our Future of Industry Ecosystems MaturityScape Benchmark Survey report (April 2023).  This is where organizations start their journey of industry ecosystem expansion. 

As they “design” which partners they should work with on which use cases and initiatives, establishing a robust culture of collaboration and innovation among industry ecosystem partners that is supported strongly by leadership is the top priority. 

A primary reason for this focus is the extensive skills gap that exist in every industry, across multiple domains.  These domains include IT, supply chain, production, service, and operations (IT has the biggest digital skills and resource gap consistently across every industry).  Filling these digital skills and resource gaps is one of the top reasons why organizations are expanding and opening their industry ecosystems. Essentially, they are looking for “access to on-demand capital”, a top-two use case focus per figure 1:

The primary difference between thrivers (those organizations advanced in their approach in working with their partners), and survivors (those early in their ecosystem development) within this realm is that thrivers have strong leadership driving an open, extended ecosystem strategy, and their collaboration is diverse and more commonly extends beyond their core industry. 

Survivors tend to have leadership that is risk averse and tactical when working with industry ecosystem partners, often settling on a standard set of pre-determined partners.  An open, diverse, dynamic ecosystem culture is still weaving its way through ecosystem survivor organizations. Thrivers are quite the opposite, working very strategically with their industry ecosystem partners. 

AI & GenAI for Skills & Knowledge Augmentation

With the current AI and GenAI hype, it is only natural to consider whether developing high-performing ecosystems is more about scale and having the right set of real humans working together well, or well-placed and well-used AI tech.  We think it is optimally a balanced mix of both. Respondents to our recent Future of Industry Ecosystems Global Survey agree, with 36% investing or planning to invest in the near term in AI and ML in support of ecosystem initiatives.  The top reasons for this, according to wave 6 of our Future Enterprise Resiliency Survey (July 2023) are as follows:

  • Anticipating/Predicting Customer Needs
  • Identifying Shared Data Monetization Opportunities
  • Improving Supply Chain Efficiency

Industry ecosystems thrive with a diverse set of people from different backgrounds, expertise, and industries. Decision making, innovation, and efficiency are improved by taking an on demand, as needed approach to working with various resources from your partner ecosystem.  However, the opportunity for knowledge, digital skills, and resource augmentation through AI and generative AI are undeniable.  Some of the ways (not an exhaustive list) that ecosystems can benefit are shown in table 1:

AI use cases for Industry Ecosystems will continue to develop, as ecosystem data models become larger and more diverse, and initiatives increase in complexity and scale.  As enterprises are seeing the benefits of augmenting processes, collaboration, and innovation with AI and generative AI, so will ecosystems.  This is one of the reasons why, according to the IDC ICT (Information & Communications Technology) Spending Guide (July 2023), that AI Platforms have seen 37% growth over the past year, far surpassing the average ICT spending of 4%.

Strive for Flexibility through Industry Ecosystems

Wherever your organization is on the ecosystem digital transformation journey, consider the approach to working with partners on a continuum. There may be times when a simple, small team of ecosystem partners is working on a specific, short-term project, and other times when big challenges like environmental sustainability, game-changing innovation, or quality and safety require a diverse number of partners to come together as a single team for an extended period of time. 

This flexible, dynamic, on-demand approach to working with industry ecosystem partners (complemented by AI) is critical to ensure the long-term viability and growth of every organization.

Jeffrey Hojlo - Research Vice President - IDC

As Research Vice President, Future of Industry Ecosystems, Innovation Strategies, & Energy Insights at IDC, Jeff Hojlo leads one of IDC's Future Enterprise practices at IDC - the Future of Industry Ecosystems. This practice focuses on three areas that help create and optimize trusted industry ecosystems and next generation value chains in discrete and process manufacturing, construction, healthcare, retail, and other industries: shared data & insight, shared applications, and shared operations & expertise. Mr. Hojlo manages a group focused on the research and analysis of the design, simulation, innovation, Product Lifecycle Management (PLM), and Service Lifecycle Management (SLM) market, including emerging strategies across discrete and process manufacturing industry such as product innovation platforms and the closed loop digital thread of product design, development, digital manufacturing, supply chain, and SLM. He also manages IDC's North American Energy Insights group, with a focus on key topics such as energy transition & sustainability, distributed energy resource management, and digital transformation in the Oil & Gas and Utilities industries.

Welcome to the era of xOps where the focus is on sharpening operations capabilities – ranging from visibility to governance to optimization and efficiency for maximizing the business value.

Cloud investments continue to be critical for most organizations, but many are shifting focus to a holistic approach of migration, operations, and optimization under the strategy of CloudOps and governance that also extends to FinOps and GreenOps.

The Ops focus is to optimize and manage applications and services in hybrid cloud through a complex, automated, and governed approach. The goal is to leverage intelligence and AI capabilities to get faster insights into operations to improve efficiency as well as reduce costs and carbon footprint.

Beyond GenAI, cloud costs optimization and sustainability have captured our attention in every conversation with European end-users and cloud vendors in 2023. While cloud costs optimization practices (FinOps) are becoming the norm, sustainability operations (GreenOps) are still at an early stage of maturity, but with Europe leading the path.

This extended focus on GreenOps builds on last year’s FinOps focus highlighted in IDC blog: The Era of FinOps: Focus is Shifting from Cloud Features to Cloud Value.

Why Europe?

European organizations are facing macro-economic uncertainties including inflation, talent-gap, climate crisis, and contention in Eastern Europe. In addition, the new European regulations around sustainability that enter into force in January 2024 (CSRD and ESRS), along with the increasingly sustainability awareness among the young European generation, further puts cloud vendors under pressure.

As a result, IDC’s European CloudOps survey, 2023 (N=1,057) showed that sustainability (37%) and FinOps (31%) are the top two areas that organizations have identified for investment to optimize their cloud operations. We are expecting these results to be even more markable in 2024.

The Future of FinOps and GreenOps in 2024 and Beyond

FinOps and GreenOps remain to be critical in 2024 and beyond. In fact, we expect that by the end of this year, cloud costs and complexity will drive 65% of large organizations in EMEA to increase their maturity with optimization practices, resulting in 2X greater efficiency and cost effectiveness than all organizations.

We believe there are huge opportunities for cloud vendors in both spaces. Enabling organizations with FinOps capabilities can help customers get a better understanding of their cloud spending trends in order to optimize the spend, bring transparency and accountability, and boost ROI from investments.

GreenOps, on the other hand, can bring capabilities to reduce the environmental footprint in the cloud. GrenOps also involves practices like waste reduction, switching off resources, and the transition to renewable energy, but also promoting a new company culture with a greater environmental responsibility.

Conclusion

Despite different objectives, the two approaches must go hand in hand as one is a big contributor to the other, and vice versa. The CloudOps community also agreed that providing granular data across cloud costs and carbon footprint (scope 1, 2, and 3), along with tailored insights and recommendations, would play a critical role in enhancing cloud vendors’ competitive advantage.

Furthermore, cloud providers need to be meticulous in measuring data, sharing what they have included and excluded, and providing data metrics. Finally, cloud vendors should also educate stakeholders, especially in less mature markets like GreenOps, resulting in a greater trust with their customers.

Stay tuned on the new EMEA CloudOps research and survey and join us on Tuesday, January 23rd, at 11am GMT, where we will discuss the new IDC FutureScape 2024: European Cloud, including trends and opportunities around FinOps and GreenOps.